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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California State University Channel Islands0.37+7.88vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California2.33+2.24vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.81+0.25vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University2.08+0.87vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii1.65-0.13vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley1.09+0.25vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii2.32-3.80vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii1.74-3.43vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley1.62-4.18vs Predicted
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11University of British Columbia-0.62-0.45vs Predicted
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12California State University Channel Islands0.37-3.12vs Predicted
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13University of Southern California0.78-4.92vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara0.13-4.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.88California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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4.24University of Southern California2.330.1%1st Place
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3.25Boston University2.810.3%1st Place
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4.87Salve Regina University2.080.1%1st Place
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5.87University of Hawaii1.650.1%1st Place
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7.25University of California at Berkeley1.090.0%1st Place
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4.2University of Hawaii2.320.2%1st Place
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5.57University of Hawaii1.740.1%1st Place
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5.82University of California at Berkeley1.620.1%1st Place
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10.55University of British Columbia-0.620.0%1st Place
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8.88California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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8.08University of Southern California0.780.0%1st Place
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9.42University of California at Santa Barbara0.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 12.4% | 15.9% | 23.3% | 14.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Wong | 14.6% | 16.2% | 12.2% | 15.0% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charles Welsh | 25.3% | 18.7% | 16.1% | 12.9% | 11.9% | 7.8% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Shannon Killian | 10.3% | 13.1% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 12.6% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mackenzie Cook | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Eric Witte | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 16.6% | 13.0% | 9.5% | 3.2% | 0.0% |
| Giacomo Paoletti | 15.8% | 14.2% | 15.1% | 11.4% | 13.4% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 9.7% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 12.1% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 2.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Kyra Oakes | 6.6% | 7.0% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 12.8% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Thielcke | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 6.2% | 10.5% | 18.1% | 51.9% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 12.4% | 15.9% | 23.3% | 14.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Gebelein | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 13.0% | 16.3% | 16.0% | 13.9% | 7.3% | 0.0% |
| Hayden Christensen | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 17.1% | 25.6% | 21.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.