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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.81+2.26vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University2.08+2.80vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.65+2.87vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii2.32+0.29vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California2.33-1.75vs Predicted
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7California State University Channel Islands0.37+1.93vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley1.62-2.19vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara0.13+0.29vs Predicted
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10University of Southern California0.78-2.10vs Predicted
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11University of Hawaii1.74-5.42vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley1.09-4.63vs Predicted
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13University of British Columbia-0.62-2.34vs Predicted
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14California State University Channel Islands0.37-5.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.26Boston University2.810.2%1st Place
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4.8Salve Regina University2.080.1%1st Place
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5.87University of Hawaii1.650.1%1st Place
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4.29University of Hawaii2.320.1%1st Place
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4.25University of Southern California2.330.2%1st Place
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8.93California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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5.81University of California at Berkeley1.620.1%1st Place
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9.29University of California at Santa Barbara0.130.0%1st Place
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7.9University of Southern California0.780.0%1st Place
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5.58University of Hawaii1.740.1%1st Place
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7.37University of California at Berkeley1.090.0%1st Place
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10.66University of British Columbia-0.620.0%1st Place
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8.93California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Welsh | 23.8% | 19.8% | 17.6% | 13.6% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Shannon Killian | 10.4% | 12.3% | 14.2% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mackenzie Cook | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 11.6% | 12.7% | 12.7% | 9.9% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Giacomo Paoletti | 13.6% | 16.0% | 13.1% | 14.8% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Peter Wong | 15.7% | 14.7% | 14.2% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 12.7% | 18.4% | 22.3% | 14.6% | 0.0% |
| Kyra Oakes | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Hayden Christensen | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 11.7% | 15.5% | 25.0% | 20.3% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Gebelein | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 17.0% | 16.8% | 12.4% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 12.5% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Eric Witte | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 11.9% | 14.1% | 15.9% | 9.5% | 3.6% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Thielcke | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 8.3% | 19.2% | 54.5% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 12.7% | 18.4% | 22.3% | 14.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.