← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at Santa Barbara2.96+2.42vs Predicted
-
2Salve Regina University2.08+3.43vs Predicted
-
3California State University Channel Islands0.37+6.34vs Predicted
-
4University of Hawaii2.32+0.86vs Predicted
-
5Boston University2.81-1.25vs Predicted
-
7University of Southern California2.33-2.18vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Berkeley1.09-0.31vs Predicted
-
9University of Southern California0.78-0.54vs Predicted
-
10University of Hawaii1.65-3.67vs Predicted
-
11California State University Channel Islands0.37-1.66vs Predicted
-
12University of Hawaii1.74-5.75vs Predicted
-
13University of California at Berkeley1.62-6.28vs Predicted
-
14University of British Columbia-0.62-3.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.42University of California at Santa Barbara2.960.2%1st Place
-
5.43Salve Regina University2.080.1%1st Place
-
9.34California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
-
4.86University of Hawaii2.320.1%1st Place
-
3.75Boston University2.810.2%1st Place
-
4.82University of Southern California2.330.1%1st Place
-
7.69University of California at Berkeley1.090.0%1st Place
-
8.46University of Southern California0.780.0%1st Place
-
6.33University of Hawaii1.650.1%1st Place
-
9.34California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
-
6.25University of Hawaii1.740.1%1st Place
-
6.72University of California at Berkeley1.620.1%1st Place
-
10.95University of British Columbia-0.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexandria Ivory | 22.3% | 18.2% | 17.1% | 14.8% | 10.6% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Shannon Killian | 8.6% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 6.4% | 9.7% | 16.1% | 29.6% | 18.3% | 0.0% |
| Giacomo Paoletti | 10.1% | 13.5% | 10.8% | 15.2% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 6.2% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charles Welsh | 18.7% | 20.4% | 14.7% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Wong | 12.2% | 11.2% | 12.5% | 10.8% | 12.5% | 13.3% | 10.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eric Witte | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 13.9% | 16.7% | 13.1% | 5.3% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Gebelein | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 13.3% | 18.6% | 20.7% | 9.0% | 0.0% |
| Mackenzie Cook | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 13.4% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 4.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 6.4% | 9.7% | 16.1% | 29.6% | 18.3% | 0.0% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Kyra Oakes | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 12.6% | 12.8% | 11.4% | 6.3% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Thielcke | 0.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 3.4% | 7.6% | 15.5% | 63.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.