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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.96+2.49vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California2.33+2.80vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii2.32+1.77vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.81-0.27vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University2.08+0.45vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley1.09+1.85vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley1.62-0.59vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii1.74-1.82vs Predicted
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9University of Southern California0.78-0.50vs Predicted
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10University of Hawaii1.65-3.61vs Predicted
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11California State University Channel Islands0.37-1.52vs Predicted
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12California State University Channel Islands0.37-2.52vs Predicted
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13University of British Columbia-0.62-2.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.49University of California at Santa Barbara2.960.2%1st Place
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4.8University of Southern California2.330.1%1st Place
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4.77University of Hawaii2.320.1%1st Place
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3.73Boston University2.810.2%1st Place
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5.45Salve Regina University2.080.1%1st Place
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7.85University of California at Berkeley1.090.0%1st Place
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6.41University of California at Berkeley1.620.1%1st Place
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6.18University of Hawaii1.740.1%1st Place
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8.5University of Southern California0.780.0%1st Place
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6.39University of Hawaii1.650.1%1st Place
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9.48California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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9.48California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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10.95University of British Columbia-0.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexandria Ivory | 19.7% | 20.8% | 15.7% | 15.1% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Wong | 10.7% | 12.4% | 13.7% | 11.4% | 13.6% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Giacomo Paoletti | 13.4% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 13.5% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 8.9% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charles Welsh | 18.0% | 19.4% | 15.9% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Shannon Killian | 9.3% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Eric Witte | 3.7% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 15.5% | 16.7% | 14.3% | 5.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyra Oakes | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 13.0% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 5.8% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 7.9% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 8.9% | 4.9% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Gebelein | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 15.0% | 19.1% | 19.0% | 7.3% | 0.0% |
| Mackenzie Cook | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 13.4% | 12.1% | 9.6% | 5.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 9.9% | 18.1% | 26.6% | 20.6% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 9.9% | 18.1% | 26.6% | 20.6% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Thielcke | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 17.5% | 62.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.