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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2University of Hawaii2.32+2.24vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.81+0.18vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University2.08+0.71vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California0.78+2.92vs Predicted
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6California State University Channel Islands0.37+2.79vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley1.09+0.21vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii1.26-1.40vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara0.13+0.16vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley1.62-4.29vs Predicted
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11California State University Channel Islands0.37-2.21vs Predicted
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12University of Southern California2.33-7.88vs Predicted
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13University of Hawaii1.74-7.25vs Predicted
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14University of British Columbia-0.62-3.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.24University of Hawaii2.320.2%1st Place
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3.18Boston University2.810.2%1st Place
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4.71Salve Regina University2.080.1%1st Place
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7.92University of Southern California0.780.0%1st Place
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8.79California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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7.21University of California at Berkeley1.090.0%1st Place
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6.6University of Hawaii1.260.1%1st Place
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9.16University of California at Santa Barbara0.130.0%1st Place
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5.71University of California at Berkeley1.620.1%1st Place
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8.79California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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4.12University of Southern California2.330.2%1st Place
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5.75University of Hawaii1.740.1%1st Place
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10.62University of British Columbia-0.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giacomo Paoletti | 17.0% | 11.1% | 15.1% | 13.6% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Welsh | 23.9% | 22.6% | 16.7% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Shannon Killian | 12.3% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 13.1% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Gebelein | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 14.2% | 17.3% | 12.1% | 6.9% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 13.6% | 16.3% | 19.4% | 14.8% | 0.0% |
| Eric Witte | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 14.2% | 13.1% | 9.9% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Colton Saunders | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 14.3% | 10.2% | 5.9% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Hayden Christensen | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 15.4% | 24.6% | 19.1% | 0.0% |
| Kyra Oakes | 6.4% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 12.5% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 13.6% | 16.3% | 19.4% | 14.8% | 0.0% |
| Peter Wong | 16.6% | 15.7% | 13.6% | 14.3% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 6.9% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 12.1% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Thielcke | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 8.7% | 20.1% | 53.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.