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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University2.08+3.78vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California2.33+2.13vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii1.74+1.56vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii2.32-0.81vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.81-2.78vs Predicted
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7California State University Channel Islands0.37+1.81vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley1.62-2.25vs Predicted
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9California State University Channel Islands0.37-0.19vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara0.13-0.79vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley1.09-3.95vs Predicted
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12University of Hawaii1.26-5.36vs Predicted
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13University of Southern California0.78-4.97vs Predicted
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14University of British Columbia-0.62-3.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.78Salve Regina University2.080.1%1st Place
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4.13University of Southern California2.330.1%1st Place
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5.56University of Hawaii1.740.1%1st Place
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4.19University of Hawaii2.320.1%1st Place
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3.22Boston University2.810.2%1st Place
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8.81California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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5.75University of California at Berkeley1.620.1%1st Place
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8.81California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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9.21University of California at Santa Barbara0.130.0%1st Place
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7.05University of California at Berkeley1.090.0%1st Place
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6.64University of Hawaii1.260.1%1st Place
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8.03University of Southern California0.780.0%1st Place
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10.62University of British Columbia-0.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shannon Killian | 11.2% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 14.9% | 12.7% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Peter Wong | 13.9% | 16.9% | 13.9% | 15.6% | 11.4% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 8.8% | 8.0% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 8.9% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Giacomo Paoletti | 14.9% | 14.6% | 15.9% | 14.5% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charles Welsh | 25.0% | 20.2% | 17.7% | 12.3% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 12.9% | 18.3% | 20.6% | 14.3% | 0.0% |
| Kyra Oakes | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 13.1% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 12.3% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 12.9% | 18.3% | 20.6% | 14.3% | 0.0% |
| Hayden Christensen | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 10.7% | 15.5% | 24.2% | 20.1% | 0.0% |
| Eric Witte | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 14.0% | 14.0% | 12.2% | 7.5% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Colton Saunders | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 13.2% | 13.3% | 9.9% | 6.8% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Gebelein | 3.6% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 13.5% | 19.4% | 14.3% | 6.2% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Thielcke | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 5.7% | 8.9% | 18.3% | 54.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.