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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.81+2.70vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.32+2.76vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.96+0.36vs Predicted
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4California State University Channel Islands0.37+5.35vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley1.62+0.47vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University2.08-1.63vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California2.33-3.37vs Predicted
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9University of Southern California0.78-0.64vs Predicted
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10University of Hawaii1.74-3.94vs Predicted
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11University of Hawaii1.26-3.75vs Predicted
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12University of British Columbia-0.62-1.09vs Predicted
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13University of California at Berkeley1.09-5.21vs Predicted
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14California State University Channel Islands0.37-4.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.7Boston University2.810.2%1st Place
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4.76University of Hawaii2.320.1%1st Place
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3.36University of California at Santa Barbara2.960.2%1st Place
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9.35California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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6.47University of California at Berkeley1.620.1%1st Place
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5.37Salve Regina University2.080.1%1st Place
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4.63University of Southern California2.330.1%1st Place
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8.36University of Southern California0.780.0%1st Place
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6.06University of Hawaii1.740.1%1st Place
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7.25University of Hawaii1.260.0%1st Place
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10.91University of British Columbia-0.620.0%1st Place
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7.79University of California at Berkeley1.090.0%1st Place
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9.35California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Welsh | 19.9% | 16.7% | 16.1% | 14.1% | 12.2% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Giacomo Paoletti | 10.8% | 13.3% | 14.1% | 10.6% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexandria Ivory | 22.0% | 20.1% | 16.3% | 14.4% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 12.9% | 14.6% | 26.7% | 18.8% | 0.0% |
| Kyra Oakes | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 10.7% | 5.7% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Shannon Killian | 10.4% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Peter Wong | 13.6% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 12.7% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Gebelein | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 12.2% | 15.7% | 21.8% | 8.4% | 0.0% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 5.8% | 5.9% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 12.4% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Colton Saunders | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 12.5% | 14.7% | 14.2% | 9.2% | 3.0% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Thielcke | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 8.3% | 15.6% | 62.5% | 0.0% |
| Eric Witte | 3.2% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 15.5% | 17.1% | 12.9% | 4.5% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 12.9% | 14.6% | 26.7% | 18.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.