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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.32+3.86vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.81+1.69vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.26+4.31vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California0.78+4.46vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley1.09+2.72vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara2.96-2.63vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University2.08-2.80vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii1.74-2.93vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley1.62-3.66vs Predicted
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11University of Southern California2.33-6.31vs Predicted
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12University of British Columbia-0.62-1.06vs Predicted
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13California State University Channel Islands0.37-3.65vs Predicted
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14California State University Channel Islands0.37-4.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.86University of Hawaii2.320.1%1st Place
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3.69Boston University2.810.2%1st Place
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7.31University of Hawaii1.260.0%1st Place
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8.46University of Southern California0.780.0%1st Place
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7.72University of California at Berkeley1.090.0%1st Place
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3.37University of California at Santa Barbara2.960.2%1st Place
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5.2Salve Regina University2.080.1%1st Place
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6.07University of Hawaii1.740.1%1st Place
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6.34University of California at Berkeley1.620.0%1st Place
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4.69University of Southern California2.330.1%1st Place
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10.94University of British Columbia-0.620.0%1st Place
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9.35California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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9.35California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giacomo Paoletti | 11.4% | 11.9% | 9.9% | 13.2% | 14.1% | 12.4% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Charles Welsh | 18.1% | 18.6% | 16.2% | 14.4% | 11.5% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colton Saunders | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 13.2% | 15.1% | 15.5% | 9.7% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Gebelein | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 14.7% | 17.6% | 18.7% | 9.1% | 0.0% |
| Eric Witte | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 14.1% | 15.9% | 13.7% | 4.5% | 0.0% |
| Alexandria Ivory | 23.2% | 18.1% | 17.9% | 13.8% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Shannon Killian | 10.6% | 9.5% | 12.4% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 13.5% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 4.6% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Kyra Oakes | 4.9% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 13.3% | 12.9% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 5.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Peter Wong | 12.1% | 13.2% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 12.5% | 11.8% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Thielcke | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 15.0% | 63.5% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 11.2% | 15.6% | 28.6% | 17.7% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 11.2% | 15.6% | 28.6% | 17.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.