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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.9%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
26
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Cruz1.45+2.28vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Cruz0.91+3.29vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley-0.09+5.98vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz0.17+3.07vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz0.07+2.70vs Predicted
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6California State University Monterey Bay-1.32+9.52vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-0.87+6.18vs Predicted
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8San Diego State University-0.91+4.93vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-1.35+6.88vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.48+5.61vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.94+3.55vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles-0.94+0.89vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles-1.09+1.92vs Predicted
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14University of California at Irvine-1.36+1.99vs Predicted
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15Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.74-3.79vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego-1.47-0.23vs Predicted
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17University of California at Irvine-1.42-0.42vs Predicted
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18Arizona State University-2.21+1.51vs Predicted
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19California State University Channel Islands-1.81-1.45vs Predicted
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20-1.22-5.68vs Predicted
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21San Diego State University-1.24-6.28vs Predicted
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22University of California at Davis-1.48-6.31vs Predicted
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23Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.78-5.45vs Predicted
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24University of California at Berkeley-0.75-12.06vs Predicted
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25Santa Clara University-1.92-6.69vs Predicted
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26San Diego State University-1.18-11.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.28University of California at Santa Cruz1.4526.7%1st Place
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5.29University of California at Santa Cruz0.9112.5%1st Place
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8.98University of California at Berkeley-0.095.3%1st Place
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7.07University of California at Santa Cruz0.178.9%1st Place
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7.7University of California at Santa Cruz0.078.6%1st Place
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15.52California State University Monterey Bay-1.321.3%1st Place
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13.18University of California at San Diego-0.872.2%1st Place
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12.93San Diego State University-0.912.5%1st Place
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15.88University of California at San Diego-1.351.9%1st Place
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15.61Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.481.4%1st Place
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14.55Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.941.9%1st Place
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12.89University of California at Los Angeles-0.942.6%1st Place
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14.92University of California at Los Angeles-1.091.9%1st Place
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15.99University of California at Irvine-1.361.2%1st Place
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11.21Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.744.0%1st Place
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15.77University of California at San Diego-1.470.9%1st Place
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16.58University of California at Irvine-1.421.3%1st Place
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19.51Arizona State University-2.211.1%1st Place
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17.55California State University Channel Islands-1.811.1%1st Place
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14.32-1.221.4%1st Place
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14.72San Diego State University-1.241.7%1st Place
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15.69University of California at Davis-1.482.1%1st Place
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17.55Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.781.2%1st Place
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11.94University of California at Berkeley-0.753.1%1st Place
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18.31Santa Clara University-1.920.7%1st Place
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14.04San Diego State University-1.182.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buster Baylis | 26.7% | 21.3% | 15.6% | 11.6% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Olson | 12.5% | 13.0% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Lisle | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Maggie McEachen | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caden Domingo | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Phoebe Liermann | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.8% |
| Alex Bussey | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Juan Alcala | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
| Maximus Suh | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% |
| Colin Thompson | 1.4% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% |
| Nathan Briar | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 2.4% |
| Emre Gurdal | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% |
| Liam Williams | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.0% |
| Matthew Stank | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% |
| Annika Burns | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Nate Powers | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% |
| Gennis Marie Pilapil | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% |
| Veja Zaprauskis | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 12.0% | 21.4% |
| Vaughn Russell | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 10.4% |
| Tony Gao | 1.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.0% |
| Ryan Giorgianni | 1.7% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.2% |
| James Makler | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.0% |
| Pike Williams | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.4% |
| Connor Fagan | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Luca Kennedy | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 11.8% |
| Joshua Barraza | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 1.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.