← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
2Boston University2.81+1.14vs Predicted
-
3Salve Regina University2.08+1.64vs Predicted
-
4University of Hawaii1.74+1.43vs Predicted
-
5University of Hawaii2.32-0.88vs Predicted
-
6University of Southern California2.33-1.92vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Berkeley1.62-1.29vs Predicted
-
8California State University Channel Islands0.37+0.53vs Predicted
-
9California State University Channel Islands0.37-0.47vs Predicted
-
10University of California at Berkeley1.09-3.06vs Predicted
-
11University of Southern California0.78-3.31vs Predicted
-
12University of Hawaii0.74-4.20vs Predicted
-
13University of California at Santa Barbara0.13-3.65vs Predicted
-
14University of British Columbia-0.62-3.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.14Boston University2.810.2%1st Place
-
4.64Salve Regina University2.080.1%1st Place
-
5.43University of Hawaii1.740.1%1st Place
-
4.12University of Hawaii2.320.1%1st Place
-
4.08University of Southern California2.330.2%1st Place
-
5.71University of California at Berkeley1.620.1%1st Place
-
8.53California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
-
8.53California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
-
6.94University of California at Berkeley1.090.1%1st Place
-
7.69University of Southern California0.780.0%1st Place
-
7.8University of Hawaii0.740.0%1st Place
-
9.35University of California at Santa Barbara0.130.0%1st Place
-
10.57University of British Columbia-0.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Welsh | 24.6% | 19.9% | 18.7% | 14.6% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Shannon Killian | 11.0% | 13.3% | 12.5% | 14.1% | 12.8% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 10.0% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Giacomo Paoletti | 13.9% | 17.2% | 14.0% | 13.8% | 13.7% | 10.3% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Wong | 16.0% | 15.5% | 15.3% | 14.7% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyra Oakes | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 13.0% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 12.5% | 16.3% | 19.1% | 12.3% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 12.5% | 16.3% | 19.1% | 12.3% | 0.0% |
| Eric Witte | 5.5% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 13.9% | 11.8% | 7.0% | 3.2% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Gebelein | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 16.8% | 13.0% | 12.7% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| Naish Harlan | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 14.9% | 14.9% | 13.6% | 6.1% | 0.0% |
| Hayden Christensen | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 16.7% | 22.7% | 21.2% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Thielcke | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 9.9% | 19.7% | 51.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.