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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.81+2.18vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California2.33+2.05vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii0.74+4.87vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii2.32+0.19vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley1.62+0.73vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California0.78+1.75vs Predicted
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8California State University Channel Islands0.37+0.55vs Predicted
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9California State University Channel Islands0.37-0.45vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University2.08-5.44vs Predicted
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11University of Hawaii1.74-5.71vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Barbara0.13-2.89vs Predicted
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13University of California at Berkeley1.09-5.85vs Predicted
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14University of British Columbia-0.62-3.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.18Boston University2.810.2%1st Place
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4.05University of Southern California2.330.2%1st Place
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7.87University of Hawaii0.740.0%1st Place
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4.19University of Hawaii2.320.1%1st Place
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5.73University of California at Berkeley1.620.1%1st Place
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7.75University of Southern California0.780.0%1st Place
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8.55California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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8.55California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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4.56Salve Regina University2.080.1%1st Place
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5.29University of Hawaii1.740.1%1st Place
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9.11University of California at Santa Barbara0.130.0%1st Place
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7.15University of California at Berkeley1.090.0%1st Place
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10.57University of British Columbia-0.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Welsh | 23.7% | 21.3% | 18.1% | 13.8% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Wong | 15.5% | 15.7% | 15.1% | 13.6% | 12.6% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Naish Harlan | 4.4% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 12.0% | 14.8% | 14.9% | 14.1% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| Giacomo Paoletti | 14.4% | 15.9% | 14.2% | 13.4% | 13.1% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyra Oakes | 8.0% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 12.1% | 8.8% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Gebelein | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 12.6% | 12.5% | 16.4% | 12.6% | 5.4% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 12.6% | 16.7% | 18.7% | 12.3% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 12.6% | 16.7% | 18.7% | 12.3% | 0.0% |
| Shannon Killian | 14.4% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 12.1% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 7.3% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 13.0% | 11.9% | 12.7% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hayden Christensen | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 8.3% | 11.9% | 15.3% | 22.8% | 19.0% | 0.0% |
| Eric Witte | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 12.5% | 15.6% | 12.0% | 7.9% | 3.4% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Thielcke | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 10.6% | 18.1% | 52.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.