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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.81+2.81vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California2.33+2.80vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley1.62+3.53vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara2.96-0.59vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii2.32-0.18vs Predicted
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7California State University Channel Islands0.37+2.41vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii1.74-1.92vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii1.65-2.64vs Predicted
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10University of British Columbia-0.62+0.90vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University2.08-5.68vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley1.09-4.05vs Predicted
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13California State University Channel Islands0.37-3.59vs Predicted
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14University of Southern California0.78-5.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.81Boston University2.810.2%1st Place
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4.8University of Southern California2.330.1%1st Place
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6.53University of California at Berkeley1.620.1%1st Place
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3.41University of California at Santa Barbara2.960.2%1st Place
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4.82University of Hawaii2.320.1%1st Place
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9.41California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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6.08University of Hawaii1.740.1%1st Place
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6.36University of Hawaii1.650.1%1st Place
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10.9University of British Columbia-0.620.0%1st Place
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5.32Salve Regina University2.080.1%1st Place
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7.95University of California at Berkeley1.090.0%1st Place
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9.41California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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8.59University of Southern California0.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Welsh | 17.9% | 16.0% | 16.8% | 14.5% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Wong | 10.9% | 11.7% | 13.4% | 12.3% | 13.8% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyra Oakes | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 13.1% | 11.7% | 14.2% | 10.0% | 4.9% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Alexandria Ivory | 21.0% | 22.1% | 16.2% | 12.5% | 10.5% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Giacomo Paoletti | 12.2% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 12.8% | 12.5% | 12.3% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 15.2% | 31.8% | 18.1% | 0.0% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 12.6% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Mackenzie Cook | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Thielcke | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 9.1% | 15.7% | 61.0% | 0.0% |
| Shannon Killian | 9.4% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 12.0% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Eric Witte | 3.6% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 14.1% | 18.3% | 13.9% | 5.9% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 15.2% | 31.8% | 18.1% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Gebelein | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 10.1% | 13.9% | 17.9% | 20.6% | 9.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.