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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.32+3.91vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.96+1.42vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California2.33+1.78vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.81-0.29vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California0.78+3.56vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University2.08-0.61vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii1.74-1.83vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley1.62-2.57vs Predicted
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10University of Hawaii1.65-3.62vs Predicted
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11California State University Channel Islands0.37-1.70vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley1.09-4.01vs Predicted
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13California State University Channel Islands0.37-3.70vs Predicted
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14University of British Columbia-0.62-3.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.91University of Hawaii2.320.1%1st Place
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3.42University of California at Santa Barbara2.960.2%1st Place
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4.78University of Southern California2.330.1%1st Place
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3.71Boston University2.810.2%1st Place
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8.56University of Southern California0.780.0%1st Place
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5.39Salve Regina University2.080.1%1st Place
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6.17University of Hawaii1.740.1%1st Place
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6.43University of California at Berkeley1.620.1%1st Place
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6.38University of Hawaii1.650.1%1st Place
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9.3California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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7.99University of California at Berkeley1.090.0%1st Place
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9.3California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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10.94University of British Columbia-0.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giacomo Paoletti | 11.5% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 13.1% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexandria Ivory | 20.6% | 22.0% | 16.1% | 13.4% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Wong | 13.5% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charles Welsh | 17.8% | 19.8% | 15.0% | 14.6% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Gebelein | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 11.8% | 19.1% | 20.3% | 10.3% | 0.0% |
| Shannon Killian | 9.8% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 5.8% | 1.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 12.8% | 8.1% | 4.6% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Kyra Oakes | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 13.5% | 9.4% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Mackenzie Cook | 5.1% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 5.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 15.9% | 27.9% | 17.9% | 0.0% |
| Eric Witte | 3.6% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 12.3% | 13.8% | 18.0% | 14.6% | 5.6% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 15.9% | 27.9% | 17.9% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Thielcke | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 6.3% | 18.1% | 62.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.