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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
21
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California2.47+3.77vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.72+2.15vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego1.81+3.79vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara2.06+1.91vs Predicted
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5Arizona State University1.14+4.32vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara2.44-1.19vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.93+2.90vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles1.39+0.47vs Predicted
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9Arizona State University1.14+0.32vs Predicted
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10University of California at Irvine1.35-1.79vs Predicted
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11University of California at Irvine1.06-1.71vs Predicted
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12University of California at Irvine1.71-4.86vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.61-1.66vs Predicted
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14Arizona State University-1.11+1.93vs Predicted
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15Arizona State University-1.11+0.93vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles0.44-4.31vs Predicted
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17University of California at San Diego0.39-5.34vs Predicted
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18University of California at Irvine0.08-5.22vs Predicted
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19University of California at San Diego-0.97-3.25vs Predicted
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20University of California at San Diego-1.73-2.59vs Predicted
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21University of California at San Diego-0.64-6.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.77University of Southern California2.470.1%1st Place
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4.15University of California at Santa Barbara2.720.2%1st Place
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6.79University of California at San Diego1.810.1%1st Place
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5.91University of California at Santa Barbara2.060.1%1st Place
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9.32Arizona State University1.140.0%1st Place
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4.81University of California at Santa Barbara2.440.2%1st Place
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9.9Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.930.0%1st Place
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8.47University of California at Los Angeles1.390.1%1st Place
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9.32Arizona State University1.140.0%1st Place
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8.21University of California at Irvine1.350.1%1st Place
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9.29University of California at Irvine1.060.0%1st Place
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7.14University of California at Irvine1.710.1%1st Place
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11.34Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.610.0%1st Place
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15.93Arizona State University-1.110.0%1st Place
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15.93Arizona State University-1.110.0%1st Place
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11.69University of California at Los Angeles0.440.0%1st Place
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11.66University of California at San Diego0.390.0%1st Place
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12.78University of California at Irvine0.080.0%1st Place
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15.75University of California at San Diego-0.970.0%1st Place
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17.41University of California at San Diego-1.730.0%1st Place
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14.69University of California at San Diego-0.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Coakley | 13.3% | 14.4% | 13.7% | 11.5% | 12.6% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sterling Henken | 19.3% | 15.5% | 14.4% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Delfino | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Godfrey | 8.0% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Smith | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tristram Craig | 15.4% | 12.9% | 13.6% | 12.3% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Lausten | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Hays | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Smith | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Weis | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian MacLean | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Heller | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Greg Kushnir | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 11.7% | 8.0% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conor McGee | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 10.4% | 15.6% | 25.7% | 19.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conor McGee | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 10.4% | 15.6% | 25.7% | 19.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Monti | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 7.3% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Rohrbach | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Heller | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 2.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erika Poynter | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 17.9% | 21.9% | 18.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ismael Munoz | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 13.5% | 19.2% | 47.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Sinclair | 0.7% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 15.8% | 16.5% | 15.8% | 8.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.