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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.48+5.73vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College3.33+5.34vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.81+6.20vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland4.16+0.79vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.52+1.77vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.38+1.29vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.86+2.12vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.90+0.77vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston3.78-3.17vs Predicted
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11University of Michigan1.53+1.95vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University3.39-4.80vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College2.90-4.12vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy2.68-4.37vs Predicted
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15Yale University3.10-6.94vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida3.29-8.41vs Predicted
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17Cornell University-1.25-1.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.73Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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7.34Connecticut College3.330.1%1st Place
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9.2Georgetown University2.810.0%1st Place
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4.79St. Mary's College of Maryland4.160.1%1st Place
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6.77Brown University3.520.1%1st Place
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7.29Harvard University3.380.1%1st Place
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9.12University of Vermont2.860.1%1st Place
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8.77University of Rhode Island2.900.0%1st Place
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5.83College of Charleston3.780.1%1st Place
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12.95University of Michigan1.530.0%1st Place
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7.2Old Dominion University3.390.1%1st Place
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8.88Eckerd College2.900.1%1st Place
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9.63U. S. Naval Academy2.680.0%1st Place
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8.06Yale University3.100.1%1st Place
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7.59University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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15.83Cornell University-1.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Briana Provancha | 7.8% | 10.6% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Whipple | 6.5% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Burke | 4.8% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 6.0% | 0.0% |
| Sara Morgan Watters | 14.3% | 15.5% | 12.9% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Lipschitz | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Powers | 7.0% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 12.0% | 7.0% | 0.1% |
| Bethany Leonard | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 5.2% | 0.0% |
| Shannon Heausler | 11.7% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 12.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Kelsey Dubois | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 12.5% | 49.7% | 5.1% |
| Morgan Wilson | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Emilie Mademann | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 5.4% | 0.3% |
| Sara Burke | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 0.3% |
| Genoa Warner | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 3.0% | 0.2% |
| Abby Featherstone | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Bick | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 3.2% | 93.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.