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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
22
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California1.52+3.54vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.21+0.99vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara1.31+2.21vs Predicted
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4Arizona State University0.10+5.48vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego0.31+3.59vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles0.58+1.68vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles-0.81+6.42vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.06+1.97vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-1.01+4.80vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara-0.07+0.18vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.38-2.53vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles0.12-2.37vs Predicted
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13University of California at Irvine-1.02+1.18vs Predicted
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14Arizona State University0.10-4.52vs Predicted
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15University of California at Irvine-0.54-2.98vs Predicted
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16Arizona State University-1.07-2.02vs Predicted
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17Arizona State University-1.07-3.02vs Predicted
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18University of California at Irvine0.08-8.51vs Predicted
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19University of California at San Diego-1.82-2.56vs Predicted
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20University of California at Irvine-1.49-4.40vs Predicted
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21University of California at San Diego0.43-12.88vs Predicted
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22University of California at San Diego-1.68-5.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.54University of Southern California1.520.1%1st Place
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2.99University of California at Santa Barbara2.210.3%1st Place
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5.21University of California at Santa Barbara1.310.1%1st Place
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9.48Arizona State University0.100.0%1st Place
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8.59University of California at San Diego0.310.0%1st Place
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7.68University of California at Los Angeles0.580.1%1st Place
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13.42University of California at Los Angeles-0.810.0%1st Place
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9.97Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.060.0%1st Place
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13.8University of California at San Diego-1.010.0%1st Place
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10.18University of California at Santa Barbara-0.070.0%1st Place
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8.47Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.380.1%1st Place
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9.63University of California at Los Angeles0.120.0%1st Place
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14.18University of California at Irvine-1.020.0%1st Place
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9.48Arizona State University0.100.0%1st Place
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12.02University of California at Irvine-0.540.0%1st Place
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13.98Arizona State University-1.070.0%1st Place
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13.98Arizona State University-1.070.0%1st Place
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9.49University of California at Irvine0.080.0%1st Place
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16.44University of California at San Diego-1.820.0%1st Place
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15.6University of California at Irvine-1.490.0%1st Place
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8.12University of California at San Diego0.430.1%1st Place
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16.2University of California at San Diego-1.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kendall Sanson | 14.6% | 14.9% | 16.0% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Schiff | 29.0% | 22.8% | 16.4% | 11.4% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Coumes | 11.5% | 12.4% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chad Hardgrove | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brett Farrell | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Wyman | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Macpherson | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 4.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Rinker | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Shannon Frick | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Helm | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Kunz | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bleiz Larzul | 4.1% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ellen Suder | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chad Hardgrove | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Diaz | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 1.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Angione | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Angione | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Philip Tagatac | 3.3% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Augusto Salvadori | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 12.2% | 17.4% | 26.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Addison Whittet | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 16.9% | 17.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Yan Rui Goheen | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Diego Gomes | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 12.2% | 15.8% | 25.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.