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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
22
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.21+1.98vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.31+3.15vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego0.31+5.73vs Predicted
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4University of California at Irvine0.08+5.58vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.38+3.27vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California1.52-1.38vs Predicted
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7University of California at Irvine-0.54+5.36vs Predicted
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8Arizona State University0.10+1.26vs Predicted
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9Arizona State University0.10+0.26vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara-0.07+0.07vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles-0.81+2.12vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.06-1.78vs Predicted
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13University of California at Irvine-1.02+1.03vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles0.58-6.07vs Predicted
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15Arizona State University-1.07-0.94vs Predicted
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16University of California at Irvine-1.49-0.55vs Predicted
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17University of California at San Diego0.43-8.82vs Predicted
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18University of California at San Diego-1.68-1.97vs Predicted
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19University of California at Los Angeles0.12-9.51vs Predicted
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20Arizona State University-1.07-5.94vs Predicted
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21University of California at San Diego-1.82-4.52vs Predicted
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22University of California at San Diego-1.01-8.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.98University of California at Santa Barbara2.210.3%1st Place
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5.15University of California at Santa Barbara1.310.1%1st Place
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8.73University of California at San Diego0.310.0%1st Place
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9.58University of California at Irvine0.080.0%1st Place
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8.27Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.380.0%1st Place
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4.62University of Southern California1.520.1%1st Place
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12.36University of California at Irvine-0.540.0%1st Place
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9.26Arizona State University0.100.0%1st Place
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9.26Arizona State University0.100.0%1st Place
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10.07University of California at Santa Barbara-0.070.0%1st Place
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13.12University of California at Los Angeles-0.810.0%1st Place
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10.22Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.060.0%1st Place
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14.03University of California at Irvine-1.020.0%1st Place
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7.93University of California at Los Angeles0.580.1%1st Place
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14.06Arizona State University-1.070.0%1st Place
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15.45University of California at Irvine-1.490.0%1st Place
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8.18University of California at San Diego0.430.0%1st Place
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16.03University of California at San Diego-1.680.0%1st Place
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9.49University of California at Los Angeles0.120.0%1st Place
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14.06Arizona State University-1.070.0%1st Place
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16.48University of California at San Diego-1.820.0%1st Place
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13.99University of California at San Diego-1.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Schiff | 30.5% | 23.5% | 15.0% | 10.4% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Coumes | 12.2% | 11.0% | 13.2% | 11.4% | 12.9% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brett Farrell | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Philip Tagatac | 3.7% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Kunz | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kendall Sanson | 13.1% | 16.5% | 12.2% | 13.0% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Diaz | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chad Hardgrove | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chad Hardgrove | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Helm | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Macpherson | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Rinker | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ellen Suder | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 6.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Wyman | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Angione | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 8.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Addison Whittet | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 13.7% | 15.1% | 18.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Yan Rui Goheen | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Diego Gomes | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 17.6% | 21.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bleiz Larzul | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Angione | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 8.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Augusto Salvadori | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 15.9% | 30.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Shannon Frick | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 6.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.