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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
22
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.21+2.18vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.07+4.30vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.38+5.87vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego0.43+4.63vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.06+5.46vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California1.52-1.05vs Predicted
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7Arizona State University0.10+3.16vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego0.31+0.88vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara1.31-3.56vs Predicted
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10Arizona State University0.10+0.16vs Predicted
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11University of California at Irvine-0.54+1.55vs Predicted
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12University of California at Irvine-1.02+2.29vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-1.82+3.89vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-0.36-1.85vs Predicted
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15Arizona State University-0.83-1.39vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles0.58-7.92vs Predicted
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17Arizona State University-0.83-3.39vs Predicted
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18University of California at Los Angeles0.12-8.20vs Predicted
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19University of California at Irvine-1.49-3.23vs Predicted
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20University of California at Irvine0.08-9.92vs Predicted
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21University of California at Los Angeles-0.81-7.55vs Predicted
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22University of California at San Diego-1.68-5.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.18University of California at Santa Barbara2.210.3%1st Place
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6.3University of California at Santa Barbara1.070.1%1st Place
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8.87Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.380.0%1st Place
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8.63University of California at San Diego0.430.0%1st Place
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10.46Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.060.0%1st Place
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4.95University of Southern California1.520.1%1st Place
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10.16Arizona State University0.100.0%1st Place
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8.88University of California at San Diego0.310.0%1st Place
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5.44University of California at Santa Barbara1.310.1%1st Place
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10.16Arizona State University0.100.0%1st Place
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12.55University of California at Irvine-0.540.0%1st Place
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14.29University of California at Irvine-1.020.0%1st Place
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16.89University of California at San Diego-1.820.0%1st Place
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12.15University of California at San Diego-0.360.0%1st Place
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13.61Arizona State University-0.830.0%1st Place
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8.08University of California at Los Angeles0.580.1%1st Place
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13.61Arizona State University-0.830.0%1st Place
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9.8University of California at Los Angeles0.120.0%1st Place
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15.77University of California at Irvine-1.490.0%1st Place
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10.08University of California at Irvine0.080.0%1st Place
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13.45University of California at Los Angeles-0.810.0%1st Place
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16.46University of California at San Diego-1.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Schiff | 28.3% | 21.8% | 15.4% | 10.9% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Leddy | 8.5% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Kunz | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Yan Rui Goheen | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Rinker | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kendall Sanson | 12.9% | 13.6% | 11.7% | 12.9% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chad Hardgrove | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brett Farrell | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Coumes | 11.4% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chad Hardgrove | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Diaz | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 2.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ellen Suder | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 8.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Augusto Salvadori | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 18.0% | 34.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nils-Erik Rundquist | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Elvig | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 5.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Wyman | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Elvig | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 5.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bleiz Larzul | 3.6% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Addison Whittet | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 9.7% | 14.6% | 16.5% | 17.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Philip Tagatac | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Macpherson | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 3.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Diego Gomes | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 12.7% | 19.5% | 25.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.