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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Texas A&M University at Galveston0.89+2.32vs Predicted
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2University of Texas1.17+0.90vs Predicted
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3Texas A&M University at Galveston1.10+0.03vs Predicted
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4University of Texas0.40+0.17vs Predicted
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6University of Texas-0.02-1.07vs Predicted
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7University of Central Oklahoma-1.48+0.55vs Predicted
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8Loyola University New Orleans-0.38-2.34vs Predicted
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9Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-1.15-2.00vs Predicted
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10Loyola University New Orleans-1.61-2.19vs Predicted
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11University of Kansas-2.17-2.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.32Texas A&M University at Galveston0.890.2%1st Place
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2.9University of Texas1.170.3%1st Place
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3.03Texas A&M University at Galveston1.100.2%1st Place
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4.17University of Texas0.400.1%1st Place
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4.93University of Texas-0.020.1%1st Place
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7.55University of Central Oklahoma-1.480.0%1st Place
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5.66Loyola University New Orleans-0.380.0%1st Place
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7.0Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-1.150.0%1st Place
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7.81Loyola University New Orleans-1.610.0%1st Place
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8.64University of Kansas-2.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Murphy | 21.3% | 18.5% | 19.7% | 12.6% | 13.1% | 8.1% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Ellen Nielsen | 25.6% | 23.0% | 17.0% | 17.3% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Marohn | 22.6% | 21.9% | 19.0% | 15.2% | 12.8% | 5.6% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Judd | 11.0% | 13.6% | 14.7% | 17.7% | 15.2% | 14.1% | 8.6% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| William Cragin | 8.5% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 12.7% | 15.4% | 18.5% | 13.7% | 8.6% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Mikasa Barnes | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 8.4% | 15.2% | 17.4% | 25.3% | 17.8% |
| Owen Sanford | 4.2% | 5.8% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 14.1% | 17.9% | 17.3% | 13.5% | 6.2% | 2.0% |
| Benjamin Moreno | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 11.3% | 15.8% | 21.6% | 17.3% | 10.9% |
| Mitchell Selby | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 12.7% | 18.5% | 26.2% | 21.6% |
| Emilio Alverio | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 7.9% | 13.2% | 20.6% | 46.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.