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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Texas1.17+1.87vs Predicted
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2Texas A&M University at Galveston0.89+1.35vs Predicted
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3University of Texas0.40+1.21vs Predicted
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4Texas A&M University at Galveston1.10-1.02vs Predicted
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5University of Texas-0.02-0.12vs Predicted
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6Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-1.15+1.00vs Predicted
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7Loyola University New Orleans-1.61+0.90vs Predicted
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8Loyola University New Orleans-0.38-2.41vs Predicted
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10University of Central Oklahoma-1.48-2.37vs Predicted
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12University of Kansas-2.17-3.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.87University of Texas1.170.3%1st Place
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3.35Texas A&M University at Galveston0.890.2%1st Place
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4.21University of Texas0.400.1%1st Place
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2.98Texas A&M University at Galveston1.100.2%1st Place
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4.88University of Texas-0.020.1%1st Place
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7.0Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-1.150.0%1st Place
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7.9Loyola University New Orleans-1.610.0%1st Place
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5.59Loyola University New Orleans-0.380.0%1st Place
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7.63University of Central Oklahoma-1.480.0%1st Place
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8.6University of Kansas-2.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ellen Nielsen | 26.6% | 22.9% | 19.3% | 12.9% | 9.5% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Murphy | 18.0% | 20.7% | 18.9% | 15.2% | 14.1% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Judd | 11.5% | 12.1% | 13.9% | 17.3% | 16.9% | 14.8% | 8.2% | 4.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Dylan Marohn | 22.7% | 22.6% | 19.9% | 16.4% | 9.2% | 5.9% | 2.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| William Cragin | 8.8% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 14.1% | 16.0% | 16.8% | 14.0% | 7.6% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Benjamin Moreno | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 11.3% | 17.8% | 20.1% | 17.8% | 11.3% |
| Mitchell Selby | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 8.3% | 12.3% | 21.0% | 24.4% | 22.4% |
| Owen Sanford | 4.7% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 15.2% | 17.5% | 16.7% | 12.8% | 6.4% | 1.9% |
| Mikasa Barnes | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 8.7% | 13.9% | 18.8% | 26.4% | 17.1% |
| Emilio Alverio | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 7.9% | 12.6% | 20.7% | 45.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.