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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Owen Sanford 5.4% 7.4% 8.1% 10.0% 14.5% 15.8% 16.5% 12.7% 7.1% 2.5%
Dylan Marohn 22.3% 22.5% 19.6% 14.5% 11.5% 6.0% 3.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
William Cragin 8.4% 8.6% 9.3% 12.6% 16.5% 18.5% 14.4% 8.1% 3.1% 0.5%
Ryan Murphy 18.2% 19.0% 19.8% 16.7% 13.0% 8.9% 3.0% 1.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Benjamin Moreno 2.7% 3.4% 3.9% 5.5% 7.4% 10.9% 16.6% 20.4% 18.2% 11.0%
Ellen Nielsen 27.6% 20.4% 19.3% 13.7% 12.1% 4.8% 1.1% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Mitchell Selby 1.0% 1.6% 1.8% 3.8% 4.6% 7.0% 14.8% 18.1% 25.6% 21.7%
Emilio Alverio 0.8% 0.9% 1.6% 1.7% 2.5% 4.4% 8.9% 13.2% 19.7% 46.3%
Mikasa Barnes 1.6% 2.5% 2.2% 3.7% 5.4% 8.6% 13.2% 20.3% 24.5% 18.0%
Alexander Judd 12.0% 13.7% 14.4% 17.8% 12.5% 15.1% 8.5% 4.4% 1.6% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.