← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Masie Comen 32.3% 25.3% 17.6% 11.6% 6.4% 4.7% 1.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.1%
Austen Parish 12.9% 15.2% 17.7% 17.0% 14.0% 11.2% 6.7% 3.9% 1.2% 0.2%
Alex Kraemer 27.8% 22.6% 19.3% 14.5% 10.1% 3.4% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Simon Varga 7.1% 11.3% 12.0% 16.2% 14.8% 14.7% 11.6% 7.9% 3.2% 1.2%
Austin Hummel 4.8% 7.2% 7.7% 7.2% 10.6% 13.8% 17.4% 13.6% 12.8% 4.9%
Chloe Childs 3.6% 4.5% 3.8% 4.9% 7.1% 11.7% 12.9% 15.8% 19.4% 16.3%
Aaron Comen 2.9% 3.8% 6.1% 7.7% 10.4% 13.0% 17.3% 17.0% 13.4% 8.4%
Jordan Johnson 2.3% 2.6% 4.4% 6.1% 8.2% 9.0% 10.7% 16.0% 23.6% 17.1%
Alex Assyia 5.3% 6.3% 9.4% 12.0% 14.8% 13.4% 14.0% 12.7% 9.1% 3.0%
Stuart Cranner 1.0% 1.2% 2.0% 2.8% 3.6% 5.1% 6.2% 12.1% 17.2% 48.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.