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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Texas0.77+1.63vs Predicted
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2University of Kansas-0.90+3.61vs Predicted
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3Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-1.65+4.16vs Predicted
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4Texas A&M University at Galveston0.69-1.30vs Predicted
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5University of Texas-1.34+1.42vs Predicted
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6Loyola University New Orleans-1.15+0.06vs Predicted
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7Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.02-3.15vs Predicted
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10University of Texas-0.49-5.27vs Predicted
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11University of Central Oklahoma-1.76-3.68vs Predicted
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12Loyola University New Orleans-2.50-3.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.63University of Texas0.770.3%1st Place
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5.61University of Kansas-0.900.1%1st Place
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7.16Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-1.650.0%1st Place
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2.7Texas A&M University at Galveston0.690.3%1st Place
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6.42University of Texas-1.340.0%1st Place
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6.06Loyola University New Orleans-1.150.0%1st Place
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3.85Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.020.1%1st Place
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4.73University of Texas-0.490.1%1st Place
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7.32University of Central Oklahoma-1.760.0%1st Place
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8.52Loyola University New Orleans-2.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Masie Comen | 30.8% | 24.1% | 19.1% | 12.7% | 7.3% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Alex Assyia | 6.5% | 5.0% | 8.7% | 11.4% | 14.4% | 15.1% | 14.7% | 12.6% | 9.1% | 2.5% |
| Chloe Childs | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 10.9% | 12.1% | 18.9% | 20.4% | 15.7% |
| Alex Kraemer | 27.1% | 25.7% | 20.3% | 12.7% | 8.1% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Aaron Comen | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 14.0% | 14.8% | 17.1% | 14.5% | 7.8% |
| Austin Hummel | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 15.0% | 15.5% | 14.6% | 11.1% | 6.4% |
| Austen Parish | 12.5% | 14.7% | 19.3% | 17.1% | 16.8% | 9.8% | 6.0% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Simon Varga | 8.1% | 12.4% | 10.5% | 14.8% | 16.8% | 14.3% | 11.5% | 7.0% | 3.3% | 1.3% |
| Jordan Johnson | 2.0% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 14.2% | 15.7% | 22.7% | 17.0% |
| Stuart Cranner | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 17.8% | 48.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.