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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.1%
Within 2 Positions
5.0
Avg Position Diff
26
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Cruz0.91+4.20vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Cruz1.45+1.24vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz0.07+4.56vs Predicted
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4Arizona State University-2.21+15.89vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz0.17+2.07vs Predicted
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6California State University Monterey Bay-1.32+9.54vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles-0.94+5.52vs Predicted
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8University of California at Irvine-1.42+7.95vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley-0.09-0.18vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley-0.75+2.23vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.48+4.43vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego-1.35+3.91vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.94+1.43vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-0.87-0.68vs Predicted
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15Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.78+2.63vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles-1.09-1.31vs Predicted
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17Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.74-5.81vs Predicted
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18University of California at San Diego-1.47-2.22vs Predicted
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19Santa Clara University-1.92-0.87vs Predicted
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20San Diego State University-1.24-5.22vs Predicted
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21University of California at Davis-1.48-5.29vs Predicted
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22University of California at Irvine-1.36-5.70vs Predicted
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23-1.22-8.55vs Predicted
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24California State University Channel Islands-1.81-6.22vs Predicted
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25San Diego State University-0.91-12.03vs Predicted
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26San Diego State University-1.18-11.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.2University of California at Santa Cruz0.9114.0%1st Place
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3.24University of California at Santa Cruz1.4526.7%1st Place
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7.56University of California at Santa Cruz0.077.0%1st Place
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19.89Arizona State University-2.210.8%1st Place
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7.07University of California at Santa Cruz0.178.1%1st Place
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15.54California State University Monterey Bay-1.322.0%1st Place
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12.52University of California at Los Angeles-0.942.4%1st Place
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15.95University of California at Irvine-1.421.8%1st Place
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8.82University of California at Berkeley-0.095.4%1st Place
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12.23University of California at Berkeley-0.752.8%1st Place
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15.43Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.482.1%1st Place
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15.91University of California at San Diego-1.351.8%1st Place
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14.43Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.942.0%1st Place
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13.32University of California at San Diego-0.872.9%1st Place
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17.63Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.780.9%1st Place
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14.69University of California at Los Angeles-1.091.3%1st Place
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11.19Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.743.9%1st Place
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15.78University of California at San Diego-1.471.6%1st Place
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18.13Santa Clara University-1.921.1%1st Place
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14.78San Diego State University-1.241.9%1st Place
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15.71University of California at Davis-1.481.7%1st Place
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16.3University of California at Irvine-1.361.1%1st Place
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14.45-1.221.6%1st Place
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17.78California State University Channel Islands-1.811.1%1st Place
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12.97San Diego State University-0.912.7%1st Place
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14.44San Diego State University-1.181.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colin Olson | 14.0% | 13.3% | 13.3% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Buster Baylis | 26.7% | 21.4% | 16.4% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caden Domingo | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Veja Zaprauskis | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 11.5% | 21.9% |
| Maggie McEachen | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Phoebe Liermann | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.5% |
| Emre Gurdal | 2.4% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% |
| Gennis Marie Pilapil | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% |
| Ethan Lisle | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Connor Fagan | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Colin Thompson | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.1% |
| Maximus Suh | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% |
| Nathan Briar | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.6% |
| Alex Bussey | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.5% |
| Pike Williams | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 9.7% |
| Liam Williams | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 2.5% |
| Annika Burns | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Nate Powers | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 3.7% |
| Luca Kennedy | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 12.7% |
| Ryan Giorgianni | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.8% |
| James Makler | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.6% |
| Matthew Stank | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% |
| Tony Gao | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 1.9% |
| Vaughn Russell | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 11.0% |
| Juan Alcala | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Joshua Barraza | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.