Race 1A

harris-kempner

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Brendan Feeney 47.7% 28.0% 15.2% 5.8% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Charlie Bess 23.2% 31.9% 20.9% 13.3% 6.9% 2.6% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Benjamin Lipari 5.0% 6.5% 12.0% 13.9% 20.9% 17.4% 14.3% 7.8% 2.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Walter Pospick 1.7% 2.3% 4.3% 7.9% 10.6% 14.7% 19.6% 21.4% 17.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Erin Hawk 5.8% 9.5% 14.9% 15.6% 17.3% 16.3% 11.4% 6.8% 2.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Benjamin Lipari 5.0% 6.5% 12.0% 13.9% 20.9% 17.4% 14.3% 7.8% 2.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Erin Hawk 5.8% 9.5% 14.9% 15.6% 17.3% 16.3% 11.4% 6.8% 2.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
John Schneider 10.6% 13.1% 19.9% 24.5% 14.5% 11.5% 4.5% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
William Cragin 3.2% 4.3% 7.3% 10.6% 16.1% 19.2% 18.6% 14.7% 6.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Walter Pospick 1.7% 2.3% 4.3% 7.9% 10.6% 14.7% 19.6% 21.4% 17.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Zelun Wang 1.4% 2.3% 3.5% 4.2% 6.0% 9.1% 17.2% 23.9% 32.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Dani Bomar 1.4% 2.1% 2.0% 4.2% 5.3% 8.5% 13.1% 24.2% 39.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.