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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Charlie Bess 26.6% 28.5% 21.6% 13.4% 7.6% 1.7% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Walter Pospick 1.3% 2.0% 3.0% 5.8% 12.0% 12.2% 21.7% 22.7% 19.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Brendan Feeney 45.4% 30.8% 14.8% 6.4% 2.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
John Schneider 10.2% 15.3% 21.2% 21.1% 15.5% 10.7% 4.2% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Benjamin Lipari 5.3% 7.7% 13.3% 17.8% 17.4% 16.0% 12.8% 6.9% 2.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Benjamin Lipari 5.3% 7.7% 13.3% 17.8% 17.4% 16.0% 12.8% 6.9% 2.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Erin Hawk 5.1% 7.7% 13.4% 16.3% 19.1% 18.4% 12.7% 5.6% 1.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Dani Bomar 1.0% 2.1% 2.1% 4.0% 4.5% 9.2% 13.4% 25.7% 38.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Walter Pospick 1.3% 2.0% 3.0% 5.8% 12.0% 12.2% 21.7% 22.7% 19.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Erin Hawk 5.1% 7.7% 13.4% 16.3% 19.1% 18.4% 12.7% 5.6% 1.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
William Cragin 3.5% 4.5% 7.3% 10.8% 16.0% 18.4% 18.0% 13.6% 7.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Zelun Wang 1.6% 1.4% 3.3% 4.4% 5.6% 13.1% 16.6% 24.0% 30.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.