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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Texas-0.02+4.74vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida2.07+0.58vs Predicted
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3Texas A&M University0.51+1.83vs Predicted
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4Rice University-0.97+3.12vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida2.64-3.10vs Predicted
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6University of Notre Dame1.12-2.23vs Predicted
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7Texas A&M University-0.59-0.32vs Predicted
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8Texas A&M University0.43-3.08vs Predicted
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9Texas A&M University0.51-4.17vs Predicted
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10Texas A&M University-0.59-3.32vs Predicted
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11Texas A&M University0.43-6.08vs Predicted
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12Baylor University-1.13-4.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.74University of Texas-0.020.0%1st Place
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2.58University of South Florida2.070.2%1st Place
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4.83Texas A&M University0.510.1%1st Place
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7.12Rice University-0.970.0%1st Place
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1.9University of South Florida2.640.5%1st Place
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3.77University of Notre Dame1.120.1%1st Place
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6.68Texas A&M University-0.590.0%1st Place
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4.92Texas A&M University0.430.1%1st Place
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4.83Texas A&M University0.510.1%1st Place
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6.68Texas A&M University-0.590.0%1st Place
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4.92Texas A&M University0.430.1%1st Place
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7.46Baylor University-1.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Cragin | 3.1% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 11.8% | 14.2% | 18.2% | 18.7% | 15.0% | 6.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Bess | 21.5% | 34.2% | 22.0% | 13.4% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erin Hawk | 5.0% | 7.8% | 13.4% | 15.3% | 20.1% | 18.5% | 12.0% | 5.8% | 2.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zelun Wang | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 5.1% | 8.4% | 11.3% | 14.7% | 24.1% | 30.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Feeney | 50.1% | 24.4% | 15.7% | 6.6% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Schneider | 10.0% | 15.0% | 20.9% | 21.6% | 15.8% | 9.8% | 5.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Walter Pospick | 1.5% | 2.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 10.9% | 13.6% | 19.9% | 24.3% | 17.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Lipari | 6.0% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 17.8% | 17.9% | 16.8% | 14.5% | 6.4% | 2.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erin Hawk | 5.0% | 7.8% | 13.4% | 15.3% | 20.1% | 18.5% | 12.0% | 5.8% | 2.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Walter Pospick | 1.5% | 2.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 10.9% | 13.6% | 19.9% | 24.3% | 17.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Lipari | 6.0% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 17.8% | 17.9% | 16.8% | 14.5% | 6.4% | 2.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dani Bomar | 1.4% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 8.2% | 14.1% | 23.3% | 40.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.