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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida2.07+1.50vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida2.64-0.04vs Predicted
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3University of Notre Dame1.12+0.85vs Predicted
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4Texas A&M University0.51+0.73vs Predicted
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5University of Texas-0.02+0.61vs Predicted
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6Texas A&M University0.51-1.27vs Predicted
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7Texas A&M University-0.59-0.36vs Predicted
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8Baylor University-1.13-0.50vs Predicted
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9Texas A&M University0.43-4.02vs Predicted
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10Texas A&M University-0.59-3.36vs Predicted
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11Texas A&M University0.43-6.02vs Predicted
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12Rice University-0.97-4.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.5University of South Florida2.070.3%1st Place
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1.96University of South Florida2.640.4%1st Place
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3.85University of Notre Dame1.120.1%1st Place
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4.73Texas A&M University0.510.1%1st Place
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5.61University of Texas-0.020.0%1st Place
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4.73Texas A&M University0.510.1%1st Place
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6.64Texas A&M University-0.590.0%1st Place
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7.5Baylor University-1.130.0%1st Place
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4.98Texas A&M University0.430.1%1st Place
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6.64Texas A&M University-0.590.0%1st Place
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4.98Texas A&M University0.430.1%1st Place
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7.22Rice University-0.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Bess | 28.9% | 25.7% | 23.8% | 12.2% | 7.0% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Feeney | 43.8% | 29.9% | 16.9% | 6.0% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Schneider | 9.8% | 14.6% | 19.7% | 19.6% | 17.0% | 12.7% | 5.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erin Hawk | 5.5% | 9.1% | 12.7% | 17.4% | 19.3% | 15.6% | 13.2% | 5.4% | 1.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Cragin | 3.0% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 11.7% | 14.9% | 18.1% | 16.1% | 14.6% | 6.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erin Hawk | 5.5% | 9.1% | 12.7% | 17.4% | 19.3% | 15.6% | 13.2% | 5.4% | 1.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Walter Pospick | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 12.9% | 21.7% | 21.2% | 18.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dani Bomar | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 8.5% | 12.3% | 26.7% | 38.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Lipari | 5.0% | 7.4% | 10.9% | 16.7% | 18.1% | 18.5% | 12.6% | 8.1% | 2.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Walter Pospick | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 12.9% | 21.7% | 21.2% | 18.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Lipari | 5.0% | 7.4% | 10.9% | 16.7% | 18.1% | 18.5% | 12.6% | 8.1% | 2.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zelun Wang | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 10.8% | 18.5% | 23.0% | 31.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.