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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
John Schneider 9.9% 14.4% 21.9% 18.8% 16.3% 10.5% 5.9% 2.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Charlie Bess 22.6% 31.1% 22.0% 15.0% 5.7% 2.8% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Brendan Feeney 49.3% 27.4% 14.5% 6.3% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Benjamin Lipari 5.0% 8.7% 12.0% 17.4% 17.5% 16.3% 13.4% 7.2% 2.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Zelun Wang 1.2% 1.6% 3.6% 5.4% 8.8% 11.1% 12.8% 24.7% 30.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Erin Hawk 5.3% 8.0% 12.6% 16.5% 20.6% 17.0% 12.1% 6.0% 1.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Erin Hawk 5.3% 8.0% 12.6% 16.5% 20.6% 17.0% 12.1% 6.0% 1.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Walter Pospick 1.9% 2.6% 3.8% 5.8% 8.5% 13.6% 21.3% 24.2% 18.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Dani Bomar 1.2% 1.8% 2.4% 3.6% 5.9% 8.5% 14.1% 22.4% 40.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
William Cragin 3.6% 4.4% 7.2% 11.2% 14.8% 19.7% 19.5% 13.3% 6.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Walter Pospick 1.9% 2.6% 3.8% 5.8% 8.5% 13.6% 21.3% 24.2% 18.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Benjamin Lipari 5.0% 8.7% 12.0% 17.4% 17.5% 16.3% 13.4% 7.2% 2.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.