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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida2.64+0.88vs Predicted
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2Texas A&M University0.43+3.11vs Predicted
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3University of Notre Dame1.12+0.86vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida2.07-1.55vs Predicted
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5Texas A&M University0.43+0.11vs Predicted
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6University of Texas-0.02-0.37vs Predicted
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7Texas A&M University0.51-2.22vs Predicted
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8Texas A&M University-0.59-1.34vs Predicted
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9Texas A&M University0.51-4.22vs Predicted
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10Texas A&M University-0.59-3.34vs Predicted
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11Baylor University-1.13-3.58vs Predicted
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12Rice University-0.97-4.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.88University of South Florida2.640.5%1st Place
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5.11Texas A&M University0.430.0%1st Place
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3.86University of Notre Dame1.120.1%1st Place
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2.45University of South Florida2.070.3%1st Place
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5.11Texas A&M University0.430.0%1st Place
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5.63University of Texas-0.020.0%1st Place
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4.78Texas A&M University0.510.1%1st Place
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6.66Texas A&M University-0.590.0%1st Place
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4.78Texas A&M University0.510.1%1st Place
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6.66Texas A&M University-0.590.0%1st Place
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7.42Baylor University-1.130.0%1st Place
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7.21Rice University-0.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Feeney | 47.7% | 28.7% | 14.4% | 6.5% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Lipari | 3.3% | 6.3% | 10.4% | 18.4% | 17.7% | 18.6% | 15.0% | 7.7% | 2.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Schneider | 9.3% | 14.8% | 19.3% | 20.5% | 19.0% | 9.6% | 5.6% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Bess | 26.9% | 31.5% | 22.8% | 10.5% | 6.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Lipari | 3.3% | 6.3% | 10.4% | 18.4% | 17.7% | 18.6% | 15.0% | 7.7% | 2.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Cragin | 3.4% | 4.7% | 9.3% | 13.1% | 14.0% | 17.6% | 17.0% | 13.1% | 7.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erin Hawk | 5.3% | 7.6% | 13.5% | 16.5% | 19.1% | 19.2% | 11.9% | 5.3% | 1.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Walter Pospick | 1.6% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 9.8% | 13.6% | 21.4% | 23.8% | 16.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erin Hawk | 5.3% | 7.6% | 13.5% | 16.5% | 19.1% | 19.2% | 11.9% | 5.3% | 1.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Walter Pospick | 1.6% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 9.8% | 13.6% | 21.4% | 23.8% | 16.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dani Bomar | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 14.1% | 22.8% | 39.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zelun Wang | 1.4% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 11.5% | 14.5% | 25.5% | 31.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.