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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
John Schneider 9.8% 13.5% 21.5% 21.6% 15.0% 11.3% 5.0% 2.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Brendan Feeney 43.7% 30.1% 15.5% 8.0% 2.1% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Erin Hawk 4.7% 7.5% 13.9% 15.6% 20.1% 17.9% 12.4% 6.2% 1.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Benjamin Lipari 5.0% 8.5% 12.1% 17.0% 18.8% 17.9% 11.8% 6.5% 2.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Charlie Bess 29.2% 29.3% 19.3% 12.6% 6.3% 2.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Benjamin Lipari 5.0% 8.5% 12.1% 17.0% 18.8% 17.9% 11.8% 6.5% 2.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
William Cragin 2.7% 5.2% 8.3% 10.7% 16.2% 20.3% 16.9% 13.2% 6.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Walter Pospick 1.7% 2.6% 3.8% 6.4% 10.0% 12.6% 21.5% 23.8% 17.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Walter Pospick 1.7% 2.6% 3.8% 6.4% 10.0% 12.6% 21.5% 23.8% 17.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Zelun Wang 1.7% 1.6% 3.1% 4.4% 5.7% 10.2% 16.3% 24.6% 32.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Erin Hawk 4.7% 7.5% 13.9% 15.6% 20.1% 17.9% 12.4% 6.2% 1.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Dani Bomar 1.5% 1.7% 2.5% 3.7% 5.8% 6.5% 15.7% 23.3% 39.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.