Race 10A

harris-kempner

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
John Schneider 10.1% 14.2% 21.5% 18.6% 16.7% 10.4% 6.8% 1.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Charlie Bess 22.8% 30.3% 22.5% 14.3% 6.1% 3.4% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Brendan Feeney 48.9% 27.7% 14.0% 6.6% 2.2% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Benjamin Lipari 5.3% 8.3% 11.5% 16.5% 19.6% 16.6% 14.5% 5.7% 2.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
William Cragin 3.1% 4.8% 9.5% 13.1% 15.0% 16.4% 15.8% 14.5% 7.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Benjamin Lipari 5.3% 8.3% 11.5% 16.5% 19.6% 16.6% 14.5% 5.7% 2.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Erin Hawk 5.1% 8.4% 11.8% 17.0% 18.5% 20.4% 11.0% 6.3% 1.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Erin Hawk 5.1% 8.4% 11.8% 17.0% 18.5% 20.4% 11.0% 6.3% 1.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Walter Pospick 1.9% 2.5% 3.9% 5.5% 9.8% 14.4% 21.2% 23.6% 17.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Dani Bomar 1.2% 1.8% 2.4% 3.9% 6.2% 7.2% 14.6% 23.2% 39.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Walter Pospick 1.9% 2.5% 3.9% 5.5% 9.8% 14.4% 21.2% 23.6% 17.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Zelun Wang 1.6% 2.0% 2.9% 4.5% 5.9% 10.8% 15.3% 25.1% 31.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.