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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.4%
Within 2 Positions
5.1
Avg Position Diff
26
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Irvine-1.42+15.06vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Cruz0.91+3.11vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz0.07+4.74vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley-0.75+7.98vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz0.17+2.25vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz1.45-2.79vs Predicted
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7San Diego State University-0.91+5.78vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-0.87+5.27vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-1.35+6.82vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.79+7.34vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles-0.94+1.49vs Predicted
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12San Diego State University-1.24+2.88vs Predicted
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13University of California at Berkeley-0.09-4.26vs Predicted
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14California State University Monterey Bay-1.32+1.21vs Predicted
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15Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.78+2.51vs Predicted
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16San Diego State University-1.18-2.13vs Predicted
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17Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.53-1.09vs Predicted
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18-1.22-3.63vs Predicted
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19California State University Channel Islands-1.81-1.32vs Predicted
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20University of California at Los Angeles-1.09-5.27vs Predicted
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21University of California at Irvine-1.36-5.31vs Predicted
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22Santa Clara University-1.92-4.29vs Predicted
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23Arizona State University-2.21-3.36vs Predicted
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24University of California at San Diego-1.47-8.60vs Predicted
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25University of California at Davis-1.48-9.42vs Predicted
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26Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.74-14.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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16.06University of California at Irvine-1.421.6%1st Place
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5.11University of California at Santa Cruz0.9113.7%1st Place
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7.74University of California at Santa Cruz0.076.4%1st Place
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11.98University of California at Berkeley-0.753.0%1st Place
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7.25University of California at Santa Cruz0.177.8%1st Place
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3.21University of California at Santa Cruz1.4527.3%1st Place
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12.78San Diego State University-0.912.8%1st Place
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13.27University of California at San Diego-0.872.6%1st Place
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15.82University of California at San Diego-1.351.7%1st Place
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17.34Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.791.2%1st Place
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12.49University of California at Los Angeles-0.942.9%1st Place
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14.88San Diego State University-1.242.1%1st Place
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8.74University of California at Berkeley-0.095.1%1st Place
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15.21California State University Monterey Bay-1.321.8%1st Place
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17.51Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.780.8%1st Place
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13.87San Diego State University-1.181.8%1st Place
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15.91Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.531.4%1st Place
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14.37-1.222.2%1st Place
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17.68California State University Channel Islands-1.811.1%1st Place
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14.73University of California at Los Angeles-1.091.8%1st Place
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15.69University of California at Irvine-1.361.7%1st Place
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17.71Santa Clara University-1.921.5%1st Place
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19.64Arizona State University-2.210.8%1st Place
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15.4University of California at San Diego-1.471.8%1st Place
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15.58University of California at Davis-1.481.5%1st Place
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11.03Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.743.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gennis Marie Pilapil | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.7% |
| Colin Olson | 13.7% | 13.7% | 12.3% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caden Domingo | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Connor Fagan | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Maggie McEachen | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Buster Baylis | 27.3% | 22.1% | 15.6% | 11.1% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Juan Alcala | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Alex Bussey | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Maximus Suh | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% |
| Liam Parker | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 9.2% |
| Emre Gurdal | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Ryan Giorgianni | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.8% |
| Ethan Lisle | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Phoebe Liermann | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.1% |
| Pike Williams | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.9% |
| Joshua Barraza | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.7% |
| Alejandro Fernandez | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% |
| Tony Gao | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.1% |
| Vaughn Russell | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 9.6% |
| Liam Williams | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.4% |
| Matthew Stank | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% |
| Luca Kennedy | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 11.5% |
| Veja Zaprauskis | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 11.9% | 20.0% |
| Nate Powers | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.1% |
| James Makler | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.0% |
| Annika Burns | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.