Race 2B

harris-kempner

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Madison Gates 41.1% 37.8% 15.2% 5.0% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Michael Sanandajian 43.1% 38.9% 13.7% 3.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Morgan Frakes 2.1% 2.9% 9.9% 16.9% 19.4% 22.9% 17.9% 7.5% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Christopher Suarez 7.5% 10.6% 32.0% 24.5% 15.3% 7.0% 2.5% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Anish Zute 1.3% 2.5% 8.8% 13.3% 18.8% 18.9% 21.2% 13.5% 1.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Christopher Suarez 7.5% 10.6% 32.0% 24.5% 15.3% 7.0% 2.5% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Brian Jones 1.1% 2.4% 5.4% 9.5% 13.5% 19.9% 28.4% 18.1% 1.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Morgan Frakes 2.1% 2.9% 9.9% 16.9% 19.4% 22.9% 17.9% 7.5% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Carson Pepper 2.9% 3.8% 12.9% 21.5% 24.7% 18.8% 11.1% 4.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Carson Pepper 2.9% 3.8% 12.9% 21.5% 24.7% 18.8% 11.1% 4.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Bryan Enriquez 0.9% 1.0% 2.0% 5.0% 6.1% 11.0% 17.2% 50.2% 6.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Luisa De Carterer 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.7% 0.8% 1.3% 1.7% 5.8% 89.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.