Race 3B

harris-kempner

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Morgan Frakes 2.5% 3.0% 10.0% 15.5% 20.3% 22.2% 15.7% 8.9% 1.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Madison Gates 34.4% 40.0% 18.7% 5.6% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Christopher Suarez 6.9% 10.4% 28.5% 26.0% 17.4% 8.5% 1.5% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Michael Sanandajian 51.1% 33.5% 11.9% 3.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Christopher Suarez 6.9% 10.4% 28.5% 26.0% 17.4% 8.5% 1.5% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Morgan Frakes 2.5% 3.0% 10.0% 15.5% 20.3% 22.2% 15.7% 8.9% 1.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Carson Pepper 2.1% 5.7% 15.4% 22.3% 20.6% 16.2% 11.0% 5.9% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Anish Zute 1.2% 3.1% 6.2% 12.6% 16.5% 21.7% 21.4% 13.1% 4.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Carson Pepper 2.1% 5.7% 15.4% 22.3% 20.6% 16.2% 11.0% 5.9% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Bryan Enriquez 0.4% 1.2% 2.8% 3.5% 5.8% 9.3% 16.7% 35.4% 24.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nicholas Cornell 0.3% 0.5% 1.1% 2.6% 3.3% 4.1% 8.7% 18.0% 61.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Brian Jones 1.1% 2.6% 5.4% 8.6% 14.7% 17.9% 25.0% 17.9% 6.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.