Race 6B

harris-kempner

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Morgan Frakes 2.6% 3.3% 8.5% 16.1% 18.3% 17.3% 19.9% 11.9% 2.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Michael Sanandajian 42.5% 38.7% 14.6% 3.5% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Christopher Suarez 6.5% 11.6% 27.3% 24.6% 17.9% 8.3% 2.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Madison Gates 42.5% 35.1% 17.7% 3.7% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Christopher Suarez 6.5% 11.6% 27.3% 24.6% 17.9% 8.3% 2.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Brian Jones 0.9% 1.4% 6.0% 12.1% 11.0% 17.1% 18.1% 22.9% 10.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alex Jones 0.7% 2.5% 4.4% 8.9% 13.1% 14.4% 19.9% 26.6% 9.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Carson Pepper 2.5% 4.5% 12.2% 20.4% 20.0% 19.8% 12.9% 6.7% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Morgan Frakes 2.6% 3.3% 8.5% 16.1% 18.3% 17.3% 19.9% 11.9% 2.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Carson Pepper 2.5% 4.5% 12.2% 20.4% 20.0% 19.8% 12.9% 6.7% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Anish Zute 1.5% 2.5% 7.5% 9.4% 15.2% 18.1% 20.7% 18.0% 7.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nicholas Cornell 0.3% 0.4% 1.8% 1.3% 2.9% 4.9% 5.6% 13.2% 69.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.