Race 8B

harris-kempner

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Morgan Frakes 2.5% 3.3% 8.6% 14.9% 17.8% 17.8% 18.0% 14.5% 2.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Madison Gates 34.3% 38.8% 19.0% 6.8% 1.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Christopher Suarez 6.9% 9.9% 26.6% 24.9% 16.9% 10.8% 2.7% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Michael Sanandajian 49.9% 34.4% 12.1% 3.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Morgan Frakes 2.5% 3.3% 8.6% 14.9% 17.8% 17.8% 18.0% 14.5% 2.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Christopher Suarez 6.9% 9.9% 26.6% 24.9% 16.9% 10.8% 2.7% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Carson Pepper 2.2% 5.7% 14.5% 18.6% 18.3% 18.1% 12.6% 7.6% 2.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Anish Zute 1.3% 2.9% 5.1% 12.4% 14.0% 16.4% 22.3% 19.9% 5.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alex Jones 1.2% 1.3% 4.1% 6.7% 12.6% 15.2% 18.0% 29.5% 11.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jackie Oliver 1.5% 3.3% 8.4% 10.4% 16.6% 17.7% 21.0% 16.7% 4.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Carson Pepper 2.2% 5.7% 14.5% 18.6% 18.3% 18.1% 12.6% 7.6% 2.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nicholas Cornell 0.2% 0.4% 1.6% 2.1% 2.6% 3.8% 5.3% 10.7% 73.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.