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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Irvine0.49+5.00vs Predicted
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2Cal Poly University S.L.O.2.13+0.15vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy0.53+2.03vs Predicted
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4San Diego State University0.19+3.00vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley0.31+0.88vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego0.42+0.02vs Predicted
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7California State University Channel Islands-1.40+4.29vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.05+2.18vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara-0.71-0.03vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles-2.10+1.07vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz0.86-5.37vs Predicted
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12University of California at Davis-1.58-0.47vs Predicted
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13Santa Clara University-0.59-4.34vs Predicted
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14University of California at Berkeley-0.84-4.91vs Predicted
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15Arizona State University-1.55-3.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.0University of California at Irvine0.497.5%1st Place
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2.15Cal Poly University S.L.O.2.1343.5%1st Place
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5.03California Poly Maritime Academy0.539.3%1st Place
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7.0San Diego State University0.194.2%1st Place
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5.88University of California at Berkeley0.317.5%1st Place
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6.02University of California at San Diego0.425.9%1st Place
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11.29California State University Channel Islands-1.401.2%1st Place
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10.18Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.052.0%1st Place
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8.97University of California at Santa Barbara-0.712.5%1st Place
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11.07University of California at Los Angeles-2.101.1%1st Place
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5.63University of California at Santa Cruz0.868.1%1st Place
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11.53University of California at Davis-1.581.1%1st Place
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8.66Santa Clara University-0.592.9%1st Place
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9.09University of California at Berkeley-0.842.1%1st Place
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11.51Arizona State University-1.550.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arin Bekem | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Morgan Headington | 43.5% | 25.9% | 15.0% | 8.2% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Jennings | 9.3% | 12.2% | 14.2% | 11.7% | 12.6% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Owen Gormely | 4.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Wilton Lawton | 7.5% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Mitchel Sanford | 5.9% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Seraphee de Labaca | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 13.5% | 17.2% | 18.2% |
| Samantha Katz | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 9.3% |
| Nick Shand | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 6.5% | 3.8% |
| Orion Spatafora | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 12.6% | 12.9% | 16.0% | 15.7% |
| Blake Roberts | 8.1% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Luke Melvin | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 13.7% | 16.7% | 22.2% |
| Paul Trudell | 2.9% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 2.5% |
| Bianca Weber | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 4.8% |
| Mason Norwood | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 13.5% | 15.3% | 22.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.