Race 11B

harris-kempner

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Madison Gates 40.9% 36.6% 15.6% 5.2% 1.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Michael Sanandajian 42.6% 38.1% 15.0% 3.0% 1.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Christopher Suarez 6.6% 9.6% 28.5% 22.8% 16.8% 10.7% 3.9% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Morgan Frakes 2.1% 3.2% 8.6% 16.4% 18.8% 17.4% 17.2% 13.5% 2.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Carson Pepper 2.9% 4.8% 14.6% 19.7% 18.2% 15.3% 13.6% 8.8% 2.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jackie Oliver 1.9% 2.9% 6.6% 12.5% 16.5% 17.7% 20.1% 17.1% 4.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Carson Pepper 2.9% 4.8% 14.6% 19.7% 18.2% 15.3% 13.6% 8.8% 2.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Morgan Frakes 2.1% 3.2% 8.6% 16.4% 18.8% 17.4% 17.2% 13.5% 2.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Christopher Suarez 6.6% 9.6% 28.5% 22.8% 16.8% 10.7% 3.9% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Anish Zute 1.2% 2.3% 6.0% 11.2% 13.2% 19.1% 21.3% 19.2% 6.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nicholas Cornell 0.4% 0.5% 0.9% 1.6% 3.2% 3.8% 5.5% 12.0% 72.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alex Jones 1.4% 2.0% 4.2% 7.6% 10.7% 15.6% 18.4% 28.4% 11.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.