Race 12B

harris-kempner

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Madison Gates 38.6% 38.2% 16.8% 5.0% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Morgan Frakes 1.6% 2.7% 7.0% 13.3% 19.7% 18.8% 19.1% 13.8% 4.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Christopher Suarez 6.1% 9.8% 28.6% 23.7% 19.0% 8.6% 2.6% 1.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Michael Sanandajian 47.8% 36.1% 12.5% 2.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Morgan Frakes 1.6% 2.7% 7.0% 13.3% 19.7% 18.8% 19.1% 13.8% 4.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Carson Pepper 2.1% 5.8% 14.4% 21.4% 15.7% 17.6% 12.8% 8.1% 2.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Christopher Suarez 6.1% 9.8% 28.6% 23.7% 19.0% 8.6% 2.6% 1.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jackie Oliver 1.5% 2.6% 6.9% 13.7% 16.9% 18.3% 21.1% 15.0% 4.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alex Jones 0.9% 1.6% 5.0% 6.8% 11.0% 15.4% 19.0% 29.4% 10.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Anish Zute 1.2% 2.6% 7.4% 11.0% 13.4% 17.3% 19.9% 20.9% 6.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Carson Pepper 2.1% 5.8% 14.4% 21.4% 15.7% 17.6% 12.8% 8.1% 2.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nicholas Cornell 0.2% 0.6% 1.4% 2.2% 2.4% 3.8% 5.5% 11.3% 72.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.