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📊 Prediction Accuracy
34.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
26
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Cruz1.45+2.15vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Cruz0.91+3.16vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz0.07+4.67vs Predicted
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4University of California at Irvine-1.42+11.93vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley-0.09+3.75vs Predicted
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6San Diego State University-1.24+8.36vs Predicted
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7San Diego State University-0.91+5.44vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Cruz0.17-1.03vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-0.87+4.04vs Predicted
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10California State University Monterey Bay-1.32+5.31vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley-0.75+0.86vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles-1.09+2.25vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles-0.94-0.62vs Predicted
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14University of California at Irvine-1.36+1.94vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego-1.35+0.66vs Predicted
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16-1.22-1.94vs Predicted
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17University of California at San Diego-1.47-1.72vs Predicted
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18Santa Clara University-1.92-0.17vs Predicted
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19California State University Channel Islands-1.81-1.59vs Predicted
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20San Diego State University-1.18-6.28vs Predicted
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21Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.65-4.78vs Predicted
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22Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.35-6.94vs Predicted
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23University of California at Davis-1.48-7.28vs Predicted
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24Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.53-7.96vs Predicted
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25Arizona State University-2.21-5.51vs Predicted
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26Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.79-8.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.15University of California at Santa Cruz1.4529.1%1st Place
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5.16University of California at Santa Cruz0.9112.7%1st Place
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7.67University of California at Santa Cruz0.076.4%1st Place
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15.93University of California at Irvine-1.421.5%1st Place
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8.75University of California at Berkeley-0.095.8%1st Place
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14.36San Diego State University-1.241.8%1st Place
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12.44San Diego State University-0.912.6%1st Place
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6.97University of California at Santa Cruz0.178.2%1st Place
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13.04University of California at San Diego-0.872.9%1st Place
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15.31California State University Monterey Bay-1.321.8%1st Place
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11.86University of California at Berkeley-0.752.7%1st Place
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14.25University of California at Los Angeles-1.091.8%1st Place
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12.38University of California at Los Angeles-0.943.4%1st Place
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15.94University of California at Irvine-1.361.6%1st Place
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15.66University of California at San Diego-1.351.4%1st Place
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14.06-1.222.1%1st Place
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15.28University of California at San Diego-1.471.8%1st Place
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17.83Santa Clara University-1.921.1%1st Place
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17.41California State University Channel Islands-1.811.4%1st Place
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13.72San Diego State University-1.182.4%1st Place
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16.22Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.651.7%1st Place
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15.06Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.351.2%1st Place
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15.72University of California at Davis-1.481.4%1st Place
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16.04Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.531.7%1st Place
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19.49Arizona State University-2.210.8%1st Place
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17.31Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.790.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buster Baylis | 29.1% | 20.8% | 16.0% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Olson | 12.7% | 13.4% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caden Domingo | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gennis Marie Pilapil | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% |
| Ethan Lisle | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Giorgianni | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.1% |
| Juan Alcala | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% |
| Maggie McEachen | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Bussey | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.3% |
| Phoebe Liermann | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.5% |
| Connor Fagan | 2.7% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Liam Williams | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.1% |
| Emre Gurdal | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.8% |
| Matthew Stank | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% |
| Maximus Suh | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.8% |
| Tony Gao | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 2.2% |
| Nate Powers | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.6% |
| Luca Kennedy | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 10.9% |
| Vaughn Russell | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 9.4% |
| Joshua Barraza | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.9% |
| Isaac Ericsson | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% |
| Gabriel Peralta | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.8% |
| James Makler | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 3.5% |
| Alejandro Fernandez | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 4.9% |
| Veja Zaprauskis | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 20.5% |
| Liam Parker | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 9.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.