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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
23
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.29+3.60vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.18+6.25vs Predicted
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3California State University Monterey Bay0.56+7.72vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara2.88-0.88vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara2.49-0.96vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy1.44+1.10vs Predicted
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7California Poly Maritime Academy1.58-0.51vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18+0.30vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.18+3.31vs Predicted
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10University of California at Davis-0.23+4.06vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.06+2.58vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.42+6.57vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Cruz0.02+0.16vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego0.31-2.54vs Predicted
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15University of California at Los Angeles-0.58+0.79vs Predicted
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16University of California at Davis-0.43-0.99vs Predicted
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18University of California at San Diego-1.73+1.72vs Predicted
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19University of California at Santa Cruz-0.95-1.72vs Predicted
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20University of California at Los Angeles-1.09-2.72vs Predicted
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21University of California at Los Angeles-1.45-2.31vs Predicted
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22University of California at San Diego0.43-10.84vs Predicted
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23California State University Monterey Bay0.14-10.32vs Predicted
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24University of California at Santa Barbara0.13-11.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.6University of California at Santa Barbara2.290.1%1st Place
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8.25University of California at Santa Barbara1.180.0%1st Place
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10.72California State University Monterey Bay0.560.0%1st Place
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3.12University of California at Santa Barbara2.880.3%1st Place
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4.04University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.2%1st Place
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7.1California Poly Maritime Academy1.440.1%1st Place
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6.49California Poly Maritime Academy1.580.1%1st Place
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8.3Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
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12.31Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.180.0%1st Place
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14.06University of California at Davis-0.230.0%1st Place
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13.58Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.060.0%1st Place
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18.57Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.420.0%1st Place
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13.16University of California at Santa Cruz0.020.0%1st Place
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11.46University of California at San Diego0.310.0%1st Place
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15.79University of California at Los Angeles-0.580.0%1st Place
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15.01University of California at Davis-0.430.0%1st Place
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19.72University of California at San Diego-1.730.0%1st Place
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17.28University of California at Santa Cruz-0.950.0%1st Place
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17.28University of California at Los Angeles-1.090.0%1st Place
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18.69University of California at Los Angeles-1.450.0%1st Place
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11.16University of California at San Diego0.430.0%1st Place
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12.68California State University Monterey Bay0.140.0%1st Place
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12.62University of California at Santa Barbara0.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Simone Staff | 12.7% | 14.9% | 14.1% | 14.0% | 11.5% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Burrow | 4.4% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Schmidt | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Weis | 26.4% | 21.3% | 16.1% | 14.7% | 9.2% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cobi Allen | 17.1% | 17.7% | 14.2% | 13.9% | 11.8% | 9.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Drake Jensen | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Gunnell | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Carrick | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Geoffrey Brelsford | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Samuel Sara | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.3% |
| Dylan Rinker | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Benjamin Blumenberg | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 12.8% | 16.0% | 19.8% |
| Kip Wanaselja | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Brett Farrell | 2.0% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Max Nutkiewicz | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 2.9% |
| Alana McSween | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 2.2% |
| Ismael Munoz | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 12.6% | 15.9% | 32.4% |
| Maille Kennedy | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 12.5% | 12.0% | 8.8% |
| Erin Kelly | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 14.2% | 10.1% |
| Nellie Ponarul | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 12.5% | 17.2% | 19.8% |
| Yan Rui Goheen | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Alicia Ward | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Hayden Christensen | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.