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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California State University Channel Islands2.77+3.21vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California1.52+6.05vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.21+2.69vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California2.93-0.33vs Predicted
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5University of California at Irvine1.06+4.32vs Predicted
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6California State University Channel Islands2.77-1.79vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California2.33-1.76vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.93+1.90vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles1.39-0.80vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley1.31-1.48vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18-1.78vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego1.81-4.98vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Barbara1.07-3.25vs Predicted
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14University of California at Berkeley0.79-3.67vs Predicted
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15University of California at Irvine-0.54-0.81vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego-1.01-0.53vs Predicted
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17Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.06-3.74vs Predicted
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18University of California at Los Angeles0.12-5.26vs Predicted
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19University of California at Irvine-1.49-2.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.21California State University Channel Islands2.770.2%1st Place
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8.05University of Southern California1.520.0%1st Place
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5.69University of California at Santa Barbara2.210.1%1st Place
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3.67University of Southern California2.930.2%1st Place
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9.32University of California at Irvine1.060.0%1st Place
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4.21California State University Channel Islands2.770.2%1st Place
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5.24University of Southern California2.330.1%1st Place
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9.9Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.930.0%1st Place
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8.2University of California at Los Angeles1.390.1%1st Place
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8.52University of California at Berkeley1.310.0%1st Place
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9.22Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.0%1st Place
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7.02University of California at San Diego1.810.1%1st Place
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9.75University of California at Santa Barbara1.070.0%1st Place
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10.33University of California at Berkeley0.790.0%1st Place
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14.19University of California at Irvine-0.540.0%1st Place
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15.47University of California at San Diego-1.010.0%1st Place
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13.26Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.060.0%1st Place
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12.74University of California at Los Angeles0.120.0%1st Place
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16.23University of California at Irvine-1.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gregory Dair | 16.2% | 17.6% | 13.9% | 12.4% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kendall Sanson | 3.8% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Schiff | 10.5% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Hecht | 21.3% | 20.4% | 15.2% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 8.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian MacLean | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 16.2% | 17.6% | 13.9% | 12.4% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Wong | 11.4% | 10.4% | 13.8% | 13.4% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Lausten | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Hays | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Keenan | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Carrick | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Delfino | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Leddy | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Saul Rosen | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Diaz | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 16.8% | 19.5% | 12.7% | 0.0% |
| Shannon Frick | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 16.4% | 24.9% | 27.7% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Rinker | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 11.3% | 14.7% | 14.8% | 13.7% | 6.5% | 0.0% |
| Bleiz Larzul | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 11.1% | 14.3% | 15.1% | 10.8% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| Addison Whittet | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 6.4% | 10.5% | 20.9% | 47.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.