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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California2.93+2.86vs Predicted
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2California State University Channel Islands2.77+2.16vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.21+2.72vs Predicted
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4University of California at Irvine1.06+5.38vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18+3.92vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego1.81+0.93vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles1.39+1.27vs Predicted
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8California State University Channel Islands2.77-3.84vs Predicted
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9University of Southern California1.52-1.23vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley0.79+0.38vs Predicted
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11University of Southern California2.33-5.59vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Barbara1.07-2.43vs Predicted
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13University of California at Berkeley1.31-4.17vs Predicted
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14Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.93-4.21vs Predicted
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15University of California at Irvine-0.54-0.78vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego-1.01-0.48vs Predicted
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17Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.06-3.70vs Predicted
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18University of California at Los Angeles0.12-5.25vs Predicted
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19University of California at Irvine-1.49-2.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.86University of Southern California2.930.2%1st Place
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4.16California State University Channel Islands2.770.2%1st Place
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5.72University of California at Santa Barbara2.210.1%1st Place
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9.38University of California at Irvine1.060.0%1st Place
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8.92Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.0%1st Place
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6.93University of California at San Diego1.810.1%1st Place
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8.27University of California at Los Angeles1.390.1%1st Place
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4.16California State University Channel Islands2.770.2%1st Place
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7.77University of Southern California1.520.1%1st Place
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10.38University of California at Berkeley0.790.0%1st Place
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5.41University of Southern California2.330.1%1st Place
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9.57University of California at Santa Barbara1.070.0%1st Place
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8.83University of California at Berkeley1.310.0%1st Place
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9.79Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.930.0%1st Place
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14.22University of California at Irvine-0.540.0%1st Place
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15.52University of California at San Diego-1.010.0%1st Place
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13.3Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.060.0%1st Place
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12.75University of California at Los Angeles0.120.0%1st Place
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16.24University of California at Irvine-1.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Hecht | 19.6% | 19.0% | 14.4% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 16.2% | 17.4% | 14.5% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Schiff | 9.5% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian MacLean | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Carrick | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Delfino | 6.7% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Hays | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 16.2% | 17.4% | 14.5% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kendall Sanson | 5.4% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Saul Rosen | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Peter Wong | 12.1% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Leddy | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Henry Keenan | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Lausten | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Diaz | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 12.1% | 17.8% | 18.5% | 13.0% | 0.0% |
| Shannon Frick | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 15.5% | 25.8% | 27.8% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Rinker | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 14.3% | 14.6% | 14.1% | 6.5% | 0.0% |
| Bleiz Larzul | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 8.4% | 11.8% | 15.9% | 14.3% | 10.9% | 3.5% | 0.0% |
| Addison Whittet | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 6.2% | 11.3% | 21.0% | 47.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.