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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.21+4.81vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California2.93+1.82vs Predicted
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3California State University Channel Islands2.77+1.16vs Predicted
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4University of California at Irvine1.06+5.33vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California2.33+0.27vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California1.52+1.93vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego1.81-0.08vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18+0.96vs Predicted
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9California State University Channel Islands2.77-4.84vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara1.07-0.57vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles1.39-2.45vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley1.31-3.25vs Predicted
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13University of California at Irvine-0.54+1.67vs Predicted
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14Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.06-1.08vs Predicted
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15Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.93-5.34vs Predicted
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16University of California at Berkeley0.79-5.63vs Predicted
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17University of California at San Diego-1.01-1.50vs Predicted
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18University of California at Los Angeles0.12-5.28vs Predicted
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19University of California at Irvine-1.49-2.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.81University of California at Santa Barbara2.210.1%1st Place
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3.82University of Southern California2.930.2%1st Place
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4.16California State University Channel Islands2.770.2%1st Place
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9.33University of California at Irvine1.060.0%1st Place
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5.27University of Southern California2.330.1%1st Place
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7.93University of Southern California1.520.1%1st Place
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6.92University of California at San Diego1.810.1%1st Place
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8.96Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.0%1st Place
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4.16California State University Channel Islands2.770.2%1st Place
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9.43University of California at Santa Barbara1.070.0%1st Place
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8.55University of California at Los Angeles1.390.1%1st Place
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8.75University of California at Berkeley1.310.0%1st Place
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14.67University of California at Irvine-0.540.0%1st Place
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12.92Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.060.0%1st Place
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9.66Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.930.0%1st Place
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10.37University of California at Berkeley0.790.0%1st Place
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15.5University of California at San Diego-1.010.0%1st Place
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12.72University of California at Los Angeles0.120.0%1st Place
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16.23University of California at Irvine-1.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Schiff | 10.6% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Hecht | 16.8% | 19.0% | 17.7% | 13.7% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 16.4% | 16.5% | 14.8% | 13.0% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian MacLean | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Peter Wong | 12.8% | 13.6% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kendall Sanson | 5.3% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Delfino | 6.4% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Grace Carrick | 4.3% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 16.4% | 16.5% | 14.8% | 13.0% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Leddy | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Hays | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Henry Keenan | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Diaz | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 17.4% | 22.2% | 15.9% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Rinker | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 15.0% | 15.7% | 12.7% | 3.9% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Lausten | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Saul Rosen | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Shannon Frick | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 16.1% | 25.4% | 27.2% | 0.0% |
| Bleiz Larzul | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 14.8% | 16.2% | 10.5% | 3.0% | 0.0% |
| Addison Whittet | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 5.0% | 11.5% | 20.6% | 48.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.