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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California2.93+2.85vs Predicted
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2California State University Channel Islands2.77+2.17vs Predicted
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3California State University Channel Islands2.77+1.17vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara1.07+5.67vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara2.21+0.58vs Predicted
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6University of California at Irvine1.06+3.34vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18+2.03vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California2.33-2.73vs Predicted
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9University of Southern California1.52-1.14vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles1.39-1.68vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.06+2.30vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego-1.01+3.48vs Predicted
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13University of California at Berkeley0.79-2.39vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego1.81-7.19vs Predicted
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15University of California at Irvine-1.49+1.22vs Predicted
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16University of California at Berkeley1.31-7.49vs Predicted
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17Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.93-6.98vs Predicted
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18University of California at Irvine-0.54-3.47vs Predicted
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19University of California at Los Angeles0.12-6.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.85University of Southern California2.930.2%1st Place
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4.17California State University Channel Islands2.770.2%1st Place
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4.17California State University Channel Islands2.770.2%1st Place
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9.67University of California at Santa Barbara1.070.0%1st Place
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5.58University of California at Santa Barbara2.210.1%1st Place
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9.34University of California at Irvine1.060.0%1st Place
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9.03Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.0%1st Place
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5.27University of Southern California2.330.1%1st Place
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7.86University of Southern California1.520.1%1st Place
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8.32University of California at Los Angeles1.390.0%1st Place
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13.3Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.060.0%1st Place
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15.48University of California at San Diego-1.010.0%1st Place
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10.61University of California at Berkeley0.790.0%1st Place
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6.81University of California at San Diego1.810.1%1st Place
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16.22University of California at Irvine-1.490.0%1st Place
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8.51University of California at Berkeley1.310.0%1st Place
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10.02Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.930.0%1st Place
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14.53University of California at Irvine-0.540.0%1st Place
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12.46University of California at Los Angeles0.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Hecht | 19.6% | 17.8% | 15.3% | 13.3% | 10.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 16.4% | 15.9% | 15.0% | 12.9% | 11.9% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 16.4% | 15.9% | 15.0% | 12.9% | 11.9% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Leddy | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Schiff | 11.4% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian MacLean | 2.6% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Carrick | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Peter Wong | 13.2% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kendall Sanson | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Hays | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Rinker | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 16.3% | 16.5% | 13.5% | 5.0% | 0.0% |
| Shannon Frick | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 16.4% | 25.3% | 28.6% | 0.0% |
| Saul Rosen | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Delfino | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Addison Whittet | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 12.1% | 18.5% | 47.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Keenan | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Lausten | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Diaz | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 19.2% | 22.4% | 14.5% | 0.0% |
| Bleiz Larzul | 1.9% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 15.0% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 3.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.