← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1California State University Channel Islands2.77+3.21vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Santa Barbara2.21+3.74vs Predicted
-
3University of Southern California1.52+5.01vs Predicted
-
4University of Southern California2.33+1.17vs Predicted
-
5California State University Channel Islands2.77-0.79vs Predicted
-
6University of California at San Diego1.81+0.88vs Predicted
-
7Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18+2.07vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Berkeley1.31+0.51vs Predicted
-
9University of Southern California2.93-5.34vs Predicted
-
10University of California at Santa Barbara1.07-0.55vs Predicted
-
11University of California at Irvine1.06-1.34vs Predicted
-
12University of California at Los Angeles1.39-3.59vs Predicted
-
13University of California at Berkeley0.79-2.32vs Predicted
-
14University of California at Irvine-1.49+2.22vs Predicted
-
15Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.06-2.09vs Predicted
-
16Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.93-6.14vs Predicted
-
17University of California at Los Angeles0.12-4.30vs Predicted
-
18University of California at San Diego-1.01-2.43vs Predicted
-
19University of California at Irvine-0.54-4.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.21California State University Channel Islands2.770.2%1st Place
-
5.74University of California at Santa Barbara2.210.1%1st Place
-
8.01University of Southern California1.520.0%1st Place
-
5.17University of Southern California2.330.1%1st Place
-
4.21California State University Channel Islands2.770.2%1st Place
-
6.88University of California at San Diego1.810.1%1st Place
-
9.07Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.0%1st Place
-
8.51University of California at Berkeley1.310.0%1st Place
-
3.66University of Southern California2.930.2%1st Place
-
9.45University of California at Santa Barbara1.070.0%1st Place
-
9.66University of California at Irvine1.060.0%1st Place
-
8.41University of California at Los Angeles1.390.1%1st Place
-
10.68University of California at Berkeley0.790.0%1st Place
-
16.22University of California at Irvine-1.490.0%1st Place
-
12.91Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.060.0%1st Place
-
9.86Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.930.0%1st Place
-
12.7University of California at Los Angeles0.120.0%1st Place
-
15.57University of California at San Diego-1.010.0%1st Place
-
14.29University of California at Irvine-0.540.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gregory Dair | 17.6% | 15.3% | 14.9% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Schiff | 9.1% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 12.5% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kendall Sanson | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Peter Wong | 12.7% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 17.6% | 15.3% | 14.9% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Delfino | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Carrick | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Keenan | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Hecht | 20.9% | 21.5% | 13.7% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Leddy | 2.4% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brian MacLean | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Hays | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Saul Rosen | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 7.2% | 3.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Addison Whittet | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 10.0% | 22.0% | 46.8% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Rinker | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 16.2% | 12.3% | 4.7% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Lausten | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Bleiz Larzul | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 14.0% | 13.8% | 9.9% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| Shannon Frick | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 9.2% | 14.0% | 26.0% | 29.8% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Diaz | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 9.5% | 13.1% | 20.2% | 18.3% | 12.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.