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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.49+2.02vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California2.47+1.08vs Predicted
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3California State University Channel Islands0.37+6.11vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles0.58+4.35vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California0.85+2.37vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara1.31+0.11vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.18+2.77vs Predicted
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8California State University Channel Islands0.37+1.11vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley1.02-2.21vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.38-0.79vs Predicted
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11University of Southern California0.88-3.72vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley0.53-3.31vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego0.39-4.04vs Predicted
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14University of California at Irvine0.08-3.84vs Predicted
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15University of California at Irvine-1.02-1.45vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego-1.68-1.15vs Predicted
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17University of California at Los Angeles-1.02-3.48vs Predicted
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18Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.89-4.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.02University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.3%1st Place
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3.08University of Southern California2.470.3%1st Place
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9.11California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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8.35University of California at Los Angeles0.580.0%1st Place
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7.37University of Southern California0.850.0%1st Place
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6.11University of California at Santa Barbara1.310.1%1st Place
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9.77Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.180.0%1st Place
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9.11California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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6.79University of California at Berkeley1.020.1%1st Place
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9.21Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.380.0%1st Place
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7.28University of Southern California0.880.0%1st Place
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8.69University of California at Berkeley0.530.0%1st Place
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8.96University of California at San Diego0.390.0%1st Place
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10.16University of California at Irvine0.080.0%1st Place
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13.55University of California at Irvine-1.020.0%1st Place
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14.85University of California at San Diego-1.680.0%1st Place
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13.52University of California at Los Angeles-1.020.0%1st Place
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13.18Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.890.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cobi Allen | 26.8% | 22.7% | 15.8% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 26.4% | 21.3% | 18.8% | 12.1% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Wyman | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Hollis Barth | 4.4% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Coumes | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 12.5% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Geoffrey Brelsford | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Cole Fargo | 7.0% | 6.4% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kathryn Cornella | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Alan Simonini | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Thomas | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Rohrbach | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Philip Tagatac | 2.4% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Ellen Suder | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 15.6% | 21.9% | 17.7% | 0.0% |
| Diego Gomes | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 7.1% | 11.5% | 17.1% | 44.3% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Daniele | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 16.0% | 21.0% | 17.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Russell | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 10.7% | 15.1% | 20.2% | 14.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.