← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Southern California2.47+2.07vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Santa Barbara1.31+3.90vs Predicted
-
3California State University Channel Islands0.37+6.07vs Predicted
-
4University of Southern California0.85+3.44vs Predicted
-
5Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.38+3.91vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Berkeley1.02+1.08vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Los Angeles0.58+1.41vs Predicted
-
8Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.18+1.56vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Irvine0.08+1.27vs Predicted
-
10University of California at Santa Barbara2.49-6.95vs Predicted
-
11University of Southern California0.88-3.45vs Predicted
-
12University of California at San Diego0.39-3.03vs Predicted
-
13Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.89+0.17vs Predicted
-
14University of California at Berkeley0.53-5.34vs Predicted
-
15University of California at Irvine-1.02-1.64vs Predicted
-
16University of California at San Diego-1.68-1.00vs Predicted
-
17University of California at Los Angeles-1.02-3.48vs Predicted
-
18California State University Channel Islands0.37-8.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.07University of Southern California2.470.3%1st Place
-
5.9University of California at Santa Barbara1.310.1%1st Place
-
9.07California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
-
7.44University of Southern California0.850.1%1st Place
-
8.91Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.380.0%1st Place
-
7.08University of California at Berkeley1.020.1%1st Place
-
8.41University of California at Los Angeles0.580.0%1st Place
-
9.56Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.180.0%1st Place
-
10.27University of California at Irvine0.080.0%1st Place
-
3.05University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.3%1st Place
-
7.55University of Southern California0.880.1%1st Place
-
8.97University of California at San Diego0.390.0%1st Place
-
13.17Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.890.0%1st Place
-
8.66University of California at Berkeley0.530.0%1st Place
-
13.36University of California at Irvine-1.020.0%1st Place
-
15.0University of California at San Diego-1.680.0%1st Place
-
13.52University of California at Los Angeles-1.020.0%1st Place
-
9.07California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Coakley | 26.9% | 21.1% | 15.7% | 14.2% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Coumes | 7.4% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Hollis Barth | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kathryn Cornella | 2.4% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Cole Fargo | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Wyman | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Geoffrey Brelsford | 3.8% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Philip Tagatac | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 5.5% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Cobi Allen | 25.6% | 22.5% | 18.3% | 13.1% | 8.9% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alan Simonini | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Rohrbach | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Liam Russell | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 9.0% | 13.0% | 16.0% | 17.6% | 15.2% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Thomas | 2.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ellen Suder | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 11.0% | 15.6% | 18.5% | 18.8% | 0.0% |
| Diego Gomes | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 10.4% | 21.4% | 42.4% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Daniele | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 14.8% | 21.4% | 18.5% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.