← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
26
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at Santa Cruz0.91+4.09vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Berkeley-0.09+6.43vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Santa Cruz1.45+0.21vs Predicted
-
4San Diego State University-1.24+10.51vs Predicted
-
5California State University Monterey Bay-1.32+10.24vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Santa Cruz0.07+1.62vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Irvine-1.36+8.80vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Los Angeles-0.94+4.65vs Predicted
-
9University of California at San Diego-0.87+4.04vs Predicted
-
10San Diego State University-1.18+3.78vs Predicted
-
11University of California at Los Angeles-1.09+3.46vs Predicted
-
12University of California at Santa Cruz0.17-5.00vs Predicted
-
13University of California at San Diego-1.47+2.53vs Predicted
-
14-1.22+0.22vs Predicted
-
15San Diego State University-0.91-2.60vs Predicted
-
16University of California at San Diego-1.35-0.64vs Predicted
-
17University of California at Irvine-1.42-1.09vs Predicted
-
18University of California at Berkeley-0.75-6.17vs Predicted
-
19California State University Channel Islands-1.81-1.91vs Predicted
-
20University of California at Davis-1.48-4.31vs Predicted
-
21Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.65-4.57vs Predicted
-
22Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.53-6.11vs Predicted
-
23Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.79-5.77vs Predicted
-
24Arizona State University-2.21-4.35vs Predicted
-
25Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.35-9.90vs Predicted
-
26Santa Clara University-1.92-8.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.09University of California at Santa Cruz0.9112.8%1st Place
-
8.43University of California at Berkeley-0.095.5%1st Place
-
3.21University of California at Santa Cruz1.4527.6%1st Place
-
14.51San Diego State University-1.242.1%1st Place
-
15.24California State University Monterey Bay-1.321.9%1st Place
-
7.62University of California at Santa Cruz0.076.7%1st Place
-
15.8University of California at Irvine-1.361.5%1st Place
-
12.65University of California at Los Angeles-0.943.1%1st Place
-
13.04University of California at San Diego-0.872.6%1st Place
-
13.78San Diego State University-1.182.3%1st Place
-
14.46University of California at Los Angeles-1.092.1%1st Place
-
7.0University of California at Santa Cruz0.178.3%1st Place
-
15.53University of California at San Diego-1.471.2%1st Place
-
14.22-1.222.3%1st Place
-
12.4San Diego State University-0.912.5%1st Place
-
15.36University of California at San Diego-1.351.5%1st Place
-
15.91University of California at Irvine-1.421.9%1st Place
-
11.83University of California at Berkeley-0.752.8%1st Place
-
17.09California State University Channel Islands-1.811.0%1st Place
-
15.69University of California at Davis-1.481.7%1st Place
-
16.43Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.651.4%1st Place
-
15.89Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.531.7%1st Place
-
17.23Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.791.2%1st Place
-
19.65Arizona State University-2.210.8%1st Place
-
15.1Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.352.3%1st Place
-
17.84Santa Clara University-1.920.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colin Olson | 12.8% | 13.7% | 13.2% | 12.0% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Lisle | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Buster Baylis | 27.6% | 21.3% | 16.6% | 10.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Giorgianni | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.6% |
| Phoebe Liermann | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.7% |
| Caden Domingo | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Stank | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.0% |
| Emre Gurdal | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.1% |
| Alex Bussey | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% |
| Joshua Barraza | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.8% |
| Liam Williams | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.8% |
| Maggie McEachen | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nate Powers | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% |
| Tony Gao | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.8% |
| Juan Alcala | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% |
| Maximus Suh | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 3.7% |
| Gennis Marie Pilapil | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.3% |
| Connor Fagan | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| Vaughn Russell | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.1% |
| James Makler | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.0% |
| Isaac Ericsson | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% |
| Alejandro Fernandez | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% |
| Liam Parker | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 9.1% |
| Veja Zaprauskis | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 11.3% | 21.7% |
| Gabriel Peralta | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 3.4% |
| Luca Kennedy | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 9.8% | 11.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.